Bitcoin’s latest selloff triggered the biggest spike in realized losses since 2022, with short-term holders driving most of the damage. long-term holder losses remain limited, showing that stress is concentrated among recent buyers.
this pattern often appears near late-stage capitulation phases, though confirmation still depends on broader trend conditions.

Bitcoin’s taker buy and sell ratio just printed 1.17, the strongest buy-side reading of the cycle.
this level shows aggressive market buying returning as liquidity conditions begin to improve.
the combination of renewed ETF flows, easing stress indicators and stronger order flow suggests the expansion phase is not yet exhausted, even if global risks still warrant caution.

gm☕️ lookng at my alts today 🤣

gm☕️🫱🏼‍🫲🏻

I was promised an only up in Q4.

gm☕️
happy Thanksgiving frens 🦃🍗🙏🏼

Bitcoin’s large exchange deposits are rising again. the 30d trend is now approaching the late-october peak, signaling increasing supply-side pressure.
this pattern often appears when bigger holders prepare liquidity for rotation or selling. the recent rise in large deposits is a signal worth monitoring.

USDT flows are shifting after one of the strongest profit-taking signals of the cycle. at the $126k peak, net outflows exceeded −$220M on a 30d basis.
Bitcoin’s recent stabilization comes as USDT flows turn positive again, easing the sell pressure that dominated earlier in the year.

got me a large $TAO bag right here. halving coming soon.

Bitcoin’s US ETF realized price is $79.3k, which makes it the first real stress level for these holders. most ETF flow comes from retail brokerage accounts, not seasoned crypto investors.
above that line the holders feel confident. below it, they face losses for the first time, which raises the risk of emotional selling.
how price behaves around $79.3k will show whether this group strengthens the trend or adds volatility to it.

gm☕️that urge to make it all back in a single trade, DO NOT!

I thought we were going to make it all back in Q4.

well this is not what we want or need. $DXY

Bitcoin’s Mayer Multiple is pressing back toward the lower bound of its range, which shows that momentum is cooling and price is gravitating toward the 200 day moving average.
historically these low MM phases have aligned with consolidation and value driven accumulation rather than major tops.
for medium term investors this is usually the part of the cycle where entries improve as leverage and euphoria reset.

Ethereum is sitting on a major on-chain support zone near $2.8k, where the realized price of key holder groups clusters together. retail wallets have been selling, while large holders above 10k ETH continue to accumulate.
long liquidations are fading even as price makes new lows, which signals that forced selling is losing momentum. short positioning has increased, creating conditions where a modest bounce can trigger a squeeze.
this is a classic redistribution setup where stronger hands absorb supply while weaker hands exit.