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We're not bullish enough on $TSLA.
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$ETH - As I covered in some of my latest PAT Updates, the price tapped into the lost high-timeframe support range, aligning with the golden pocket between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci POIs, and rejected there, a high risk I highlighted in advance.
Since then, the price has broken below the 0.618 Fibonacci POI, but it’s still holding above the 1D Bull Market Support Band, which has been a strong reversal spot over the last couple of months. Because of this, I believe the low-timeframe market structure isn’t yet invalidated.
However, I’ll be tracking the structure here very closely. As I’ve said
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WildanRamadanvip:
Ape In 🚀
$BTC - It’s finally time for an update.
Over the past few days, as I covered in my prior PAT Updates, I said I was tracking the market structure very closely on the low-timeframes and staying cautious until clear signs of a breakout emerged before fully scaling out of my hedges and taking a decisive bullish stance.
Now, it seems the price has failed to break above and reclaim the lost high-timeframe support range, marked in purple, a zone that acted as a strong reversal area throughout 2024 and early this year.
This failure is a clear sign of weakness. Because of this, I believe we could see a
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A new module is dropping in the Educational Hub, covering how to use and read on-chain data in the next few days.
We’re building a platform with proprietary metrics, so I want you ready ahead of launch.
Get early access here:
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Right now, $BTC, $ETH, and nearly every major altcoin are backtesting their lost high-timeframe support ranges.
I think the best approach is to stay somewhat cautious on the low-timeframes and be prepared for a potential rejection.
I’d rather miss out on a few percentage points to stay extra safe until this becomes a confirmed breakout, instead of flipping overly bullish without clean confirmations.
That said, most of the confluences I’m tracking, including on-chain metrics, Velo Data, the Liquidation Heatmap, and Funding Rates, are all pointing toward a breakout here.
But as always, waiting
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GateUser-da2960e4vip:
Bull Run 🐂
The most important asset for any investor is flexibility, the ability to quickly adapt to new market conditions.
There’s predictability in unpredictability.
You know mistakes will come, so you prepare for them, and when they do, you adapt.
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The most common mistakes I see new investors make are:
•Overleveraging (options/perps)
•Overexposing to a single stock or sector
•Lacking flexibility
•Not aligning their strategy with their own preferences
•Losing patience before their thesis plays out
Avoid these 5, and the gains will come naturally.
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Imagine ever using leverage or options
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Liquidation Heatmap on $BTC:
There is a lot of untapped liquidity on the upside currently.
Lots of bears who are trying to call for a deadcat bounce.
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$BTC - The price is breaking above and starting to reclaim the high-timeframe support range, marked in purple, which has been a strong reversal spot throughout 2024 and early this year.
If the price can durably reclaim this support range, that would be a clear sign of strength, and in that case, I would fully scale out of my hedges, as it would suggest that the mid-term bottom is most likely in and that the most probable outcome going forward is further upside.
A major test here is the 2D Bull Market Support Band, a strong reversal point over the last couple of months, which the price is now a
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$ETH - It looks like the price has rejected at the 1D Bull Market Support Band, which has been a strong reversal spot over the last couple of months, as I highlighted in prior PAT Updates, and this was largely expected.
Because of this, as covered in one of my latest alerts and as I’ve mentioned before, I’ve scaled back into my hedges, since this rejection opens the door for a deeper pullback on the mid-term back into the high-timeframe support range, marked in green, at $2.6K–$2.7K, before a more durable reversal to the upside.
In the bullish scenario, we’re going to see a double-bottom forma
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MartAntNikvip:
HODL Tight 💪
I’m not liking how the Liquidation Heatmap looks right now, because there’s a lot of liquidity sitting on both sides. That usually leads to short-term volatility, what I call Max Fuckery, where both longs and shorts get wiped out before the market picks a real direction.
Because of this, I think the best approach on the low-timeframes is to stay cautious. Bitcoin is still struggling to break back above and reclaim the lost high-timeframe support range at $92K–$94K, which is a clear sign of short-term weakness.
If we get a rejection there, there’s a heavy liquidity pocket on the downside that m
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$USDT.D – I like the market structure here, as the price has rejected right at the high-timeframe resistance range, marked in red, where every major top of the $USDT.D has aligned with macro bottoms in this entire bull market.
If we look at prior instances, January, August, September of 2024, and early-April this year, every single time $USDT.D topped in this exact range, it marked a great buying opportunity for the broader crypto market.
Right now, it looks like we’re seeing the same rejection again, which is exactly what we want to see.
If $USDT.D can fall below the 2D Bull Market Support B
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$ETH - As mentioned in previous PAT Updates, the low-timeframe structure remains weak.
Price is still failing to break above the 1D Bull Market Support Band, a level that has triggered strong reversals in recent months, and the inability to reclaim it signals clear weakness.
Because of this, until we see strength such as a reclaim of the support band or a break above the 0.618 Fibonacci POI (which acted as strong support on its first test), the best approach is to stay cautious and prepared for a short-term rejection.
If weakness continues and ETH keeps failing at this range, the most likely o
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$HIMS – The price has bounced off the 0.786 Fibonacci POI, exactly as I covered in prior PAT Updates.
However, it’s now testing the lost high-timeframe support range, marked in green, which has been a strong reversal zone over the last couple of months.
Because of this, before I start building a spot position, I want to see clearer signs of strength on the low-timeframes to confirm that the bottom is durablyin.
If not, we could still see a rejection here, followed by a break back below the 0.786 Fibonacci POI.
In that scenario, hedging part of the spot holdings would become the best approach t
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$MSTR – I’m not liking the weakness on the low-timeframes here.
Even though it looks like the price has formed a local bottom after testing the high-timeframe support range, which has been a major resistance zone throughout the 2024 accumulation phase, we still don’t have any clear signs of strength.
Because of this, I’m tracking the market structure very closely. If the price breaks below this range, I would fully hedge my spot holdings and go full short, since that would be a clear structural invalidation on the high-timeframes.
In that scenario, the odds of a durable reversal to the upside
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$COIN – The price has bounced off the high-timeframe support range, aligning with the 0.618 Fibonacci POI, exactly as I covered in my prior PAT Updates.
Now it’s nearing the high-timeframe support range marked in green, which has been a strong bottoming formation in the past and also aligns with the Weekly Bull Market Support Band, a major reversal spot over the last couple of weeks.
Because of this, I believe the best approach on the low-timeframes is to stay cautious.
Even though I’ve already scaled out of most of my hedges after the breakdown below the Weekly Bull Market Support Band, I’m s
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New video is out, covering my latest perspectives on $BTC!
Check it out here:
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MartAntNikvip:
HODL Tight 💪
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TONS of new PAT Updates, the Weekly Market Wrap-Up, fresh Valuation Reports, and a $BTC video will go live TODAY on Patreon.
Some free, some for members only.
If you want full access and want to support the work, you can also join here:
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