K-lineLifeBrotherFeige

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Looking at BTC's liquidation data: the shorts have basically been cleared out almost completely. Even if it pushes up to 84k, there isn't much room for more short positions to explode. Conversely, if it crashes downward, the long positions around 66k could be taken out in a more exaggerated way. Of course, this liquidation data should only be used as a reference. I personally prefer to wait for the news of successful US-Iran negotiations and the end of the war to push the price up again, triggering a wave of retail investors chasing longs, and then directly harvesting a big move.
BTC0,48%
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This chart is Coinbase's spot order depth chart.
Many altcoins are showing very strong buy signals.
Combined with the recent decline in USDC price and continuous capital inflow into exchanges,
I believe the altcoin market will continue for a while.
So, for the next step, it depends on how we choose coins.
Based on the current liquidity of the secondary spot market on exchanges,
the vast majority of altcoins have a 24-hour trading volume of only tens of thousands of US dollars.
Choose those with a 24-hour trading volume above 2 million US dollars and that, based on daily candlesti
USDC0,04%
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Before the US midterm elections this year
$BTC and the US stock market rise are opportunities for shorting
There is still one last drop in the crypto market, brewing.
From the perspective of liquidity plunder, the 76k high point is the stop-loss level for short sellers in the oscillation range, and also the entry point for long traders on the right side.
How far 76k can go upward depends on the strength of the stop-loss orders.
BTC still has a third wave of downward trend, which is the final drop 📉.
Be patient and wait for the bottom; don’t worry about it not falling further, or
BTC0,48%
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$HYPE If it keeps rising like this, it will break the all-time high soon. Comparing it to $ASTER , it's still dragging behind as usual. Currently, CZ is still trapped at 0.9 by ASTER, but HYPE is so strong that it can still boost ASTER. At the moment, ASTER's daily chart has been sideways for over a month. On April 17th, there will be an unlock. After the unlock, not only will it move in tandem with HYPE, but even if it doesn't rise much, CZ should be able to get out of its position first.
HYPE3,67%
ASTER-0,18%
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Let me give everyone a quick explanation of how to determine when big funds and liquidity are entering or exiting the crypto market.
The method I’m about to share has an accuracy rate of over 90%.
One very important indicator I think is to pay attention to the price of USDC. Currently, the crypto market has become a dog of the US stock market; Wall Street manipulates BTC and ETH. The most traded mainstream trading pairs in the crypto market are USDT, but Americans use USDC for deposits and withdrawals.
Therefore, fluctuations in the USDC price can be used to judge when Americans and Wall Stree
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BTC0,48%
ETH1,91%
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XiaoYuxin:
Brother Fei, are they now entering the market at the bottom?
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$BTC Once again attacking the long-term short, shorting in batches above 77,000
Yesterday, BTC saw a large number of orders at 76,000 on the order book; the price made a false breakout, and the market indeed dropped. If you follow the strategy I’ve been mentioning—trading the false breakout and shorting—you could capture a short-term profit here. However, I personally believe that the shorts are too crowded at this level, and the funding rate is quite negative. It’s still more prudent to wait for the price to go higher before shorting, with the key resistance level at 78,000 as a reference, a
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XiaoYuxin:
Steadfast HODL💎
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The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has just officially granted exemptions to DeFi, including DEXs such as Uniswap, on-chain transactions built into wallets, and aggregator applications—meaning they do not need to register as broker-dealers.
$UNI In this bull market cycle, if it doesn’t rise, it can be said that it’s because of regulatory reasons and tokens not being empowered; but now that there’s no regulatory pressure, project teams are also empowering the tokens—if they still can’t rise, then they truly are trash tokens.
UNI3,5%
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XiaoYuxin:
Steadfast HODL💎
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Just a reminder about ETF data 📊
In the past two days, Bitcoin ETFs experienced the largest net outflow in two weeks.
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$BTC The trend still matches the data we displayed.
Review:
1. First, the dense trading zone began around 70,600, and the market stopped falling.
2. Then, it oscillated between 70,100 and 71,200.
3. Currently, the closing price has broken above 72,000.
Now, let's analyze the future trend in detail using precise indicators:
From the trend cost band perspective, two long bullish candles directly broke through the short- and medium-term accumulation cost bands at the edge, establishing an upward trend sequentially.
From the dense trading zone perspective, short-term bulls have been actively trad
BTC0,48%
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$ZEC and $TAO these two coins are definitely run by the same scammer. I’ve told everyone before that TAO’s pump manipulation method is exactly the same as ZEC’s before. Now that the market is rebounding, ZEC and TAO are instead being dumped directly. This scammer’s manipulation is still as ruthless as ever, not giving retail investors a chance to make any profit.
ZEC2,07%
TAO1,07%
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Avoid chasing high on altcoins as much as possible. If $BTC effectively breaks below 70,500, it’s likely to drop to around 69,000. At that point, altcoins will also fall, so focus on buying promising altcoins at lower prices. Currently, BTC is still above 70,000, so altcoins can still have some upward movement.
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ListeningToTheWavesA:
Brother Fei, can it still fall down?
The daily chart still shows a somewhat weak trend, with yesterday's daily candle being a solid bearish candle. Overall, it is in a consolidation phase after a decline, with a broad range roughly between 74,000 and 65,000.
From a news perspective, the US-Iran negotiations have broken down, the US has started to blockade the Strait of Hormuz, and as long as Trump doesn't come out and make a statement, the news sentiment remains bearish.
Short-term support below BTC is at 70,500. If this level is broken, it is likely to continue testing 69,000. This area is a key boundary between bulls and bears.
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$BTC The third wave of downward trend should still be driven down by the U.S. stock market. Over the past 100 years, the U.S. stock market has experienced 25 midterm elections, and before each election, the Nasdaq or the entire U.S. stock market has declined 100%. No exceptions.
After midterm elections, the U.S. stock market seems to change its script. Data shows that three months after the election, the Nasdaq's average increase is 5%; twelve months later, the average increase is 14.8%.
The most ideal scenario in my mind is that BTC's third wave of decline is driven down by the U.S. stock ma
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ListeningToTheWavesA:
Thank you for sharing.
Summarize the current ongoing knockoff coin project teams, which are basically mainstream coins and DeFi projects.
MORPHO
Launches Agents (AI that can directly operate protocols)
Core: DeFi + AI is beginning to enter the "executable layer," not just storytelling, but actually involving AI in fund flows
AAVE
Broke up with Chaos Labs (risk service provider)
Core: Reducing dependency + lowering bindings, long-term benefits for governance independence, but short-term risk control needs observation
PENDLE
All pools launch limit order incentives (up to 100% APY)
Core: Using yields to dir
MORPHO7,8%
AAVE10,07%
PENDLE5,39%
SUSHI3,84%
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GreatBoundlessHeavenlyLord:
Buy the dip and enter the market 😎
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The trend of $AAVE and $UNI makes people feel like the project is about to be over, but the fundamentals of AAVE and UNI have basically not worsened and are still steadily improving. UNI’s fee-based token buybacks and AAVE’s V4 protocol basically establish their leading positions in their respective categories. In the short term, prices are falling so sharply mainly because we are currently in a bear market. In a bear market, DeFi tokens are prone to form a death spiral, because DeFi on-chain data will inevitably decline across the board during a bear market. This is actually the same logic
AAVE10,07%
UNI3,5%
ENA4,65%
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ProfitIsKing:
Do we still need to jump in on UNI at 2? Can it still go back up? Buying UNI right now has been a setback—fortunately, it managed to come back up thanks to the UNI contract.
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Continuing from the chip structure perspective $BTC short-term levels
When Bitcoin surged this time, it actually left behind a few unclean chip pits, like 73296 and 72891, which have already been conveniently filled by the market. Now that the price has moved to around 71500, it essentially enters a larger accumulation zone, similar to the area where the main players initially focused on buying.
According to the usual pattern, it’s unlikely to hit a point and then just move away; more likely, it will probe downward again, sweeping through the lower edge at 71200, and thoroughly handling the a
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Discussing $AAVE 's V4 update
Aave V4's hub and spoke model means consolidating funds first, then calculating prices separately based on different risk levels. Liquidity is no longer managed individually by each, but centrally coordinated, which definitely improves capital efficiency. The core of this design boils down to two points: one is to boost capital efficiency, and the other is to manage risk more precisely. With improved efficiency, the return potential naturally looks better; by splitting risk, the system is less likely to be dragged down by any single part.
This structure provides d
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MORPHO7,8%
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In the short term, regarding the market for $BTC , if we look at it from the news perspective, this is my personal understanding: the US and Iran will trade blows—then stop to talk, then fight again, and then talk again—through countless back-and-forth swings, threats, and TACO. Correspondingly, BTC’s market has been playing out as: hit it and it drops, stop it and it rises; it stays rangebound during negotiations; after negotiations break down, it plunges, while TACO surges. It’s completely dominated by the news. For the vast majority of retail traders, when it comes to contracts, either you
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Although the US and Iran have serious disagreements, there is still a certain probability of reaching an agreement. There are two reasons:
First, neither side has “thrown the table,” and both have the willingness to continue talks.
Second, Iran has, in fact, already made concessions. Before the negotiations, Iran put forward two “preconditions (Lebanon ceasefire and the unfreezing of frozen assets),” the US agreed, and then negotiations began. The US has already backed down. This indicates that the US is more eager to reach an agreement.
Third, the main reason the talks have broken down at pre
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