$GlobalVillage$

1.29 Thursday Latest Bitcoin and Altcoin Strategies
Last night, our low-buying strategy once again hit point-to-point, with both Bitcoin and altcoins reaching the first target levels before facing resistance and declining. There is still good room for movement. Tonight is another critical period for bulls and bears to compete. The overall rhythm remains steady and advancing!
Recently, Bitcoin and altcoins have been affected by factors such as Federal Reserve policies, resulting in a volatile trend. The battle between bulls and bears is intense. Short-term directions should focus on news related to the Federal Reserve and US initial jobless claims data. Technical indicators on the daily chart show resistance from above, with insufficient upward momentum on the four-hour chart. Strength and weakness indicators point downward, and the hourly chart shows selling pressure. Overall, the market is in a converging oscillation zone with low trading volume.
Note! Key support levels are at 87,000 and 2,920. Effective support will continue to lead to rebounds and upward movements. Watch the recent daily high points at 90,500 and 3,050. Only a valid breakout can open the upward space.
Bitcoin: 86,800-87,600 range, →90,500, 92,000; Altcoins: 2,890 to 2,930 range, →3,050, 3,110.
Breakouts continue to target 93,000 and 3,200 levels.
Personal opinion, for reference only, not investment advice!

On February 3rd, news broke that Solana experienced a technical correction after a sharp sell-off. Over the past seven days, SOL has declined approximately 15.5%, and during the market turbulence from late January to early February, it briefly touched a low of $95.87. The price then found support and rebounded nearly 8%, currently climbing back to around $103, indicating that short-term selling pressure is easing.
On-chain and capital flow indicators are sending key signals. After completing the downward target of a daily head and shoulders pattern, the Chaikin Money Flow indicator has moved in the opposite direction, forming a classic bullish divergence. This suggests that large-scale capital has started to position around the $95–96 range. The indicator is approaching the zero line, and once it turns positive, it will mean that buying momentum is beginning to dominate the short-term trend.

Some friends can't update apps on their phones, especially the "chrysanthemum" app... Operation method: after downloading, turn off the network to update. Airplane mode also works. Most can follow this method.
Good night, don't worry too much about short-term fluctuations. Rome wasn't built in a day.

📊👀 #BTC Over the last 7 days, taker flow was dominated by put buying, closely followed by put selling. Much of this activity was structured as spreads and concentrated in puts, with very #limited interest in upside exposure. #crypto

On January 29, the Bank of England clarified that it will prioritize the regulation and infrastructure development of systemic stablecoins and tokenized collateral by 2026, marking a significant step forward in the UK's digital finance and blockchain financial regulation. Sasha Mills, Director of Financial Market Infrastructure at the Bank of England, stated at the Tokenization Summit that the coming year will be a “key window for shaping the UK digital financial market framework.”
According to disclosed plans, the Bank of England will provide central bank deposit accounts to “systemic stablecoin” issuers and offer liquidity support when necessary. Its reserve structure will consist of 60% short-term UK government bonds and 40% central bank deposits to enhance stability and transparency. Meanwhile, regulators are evaluating a temporary cap on individual stablecoin holdings set at £20,000 and £10 million for corporate holdings to prevent systemic risk from spreading.

Has anyone noticed that the content in the Square is becoming more and more diverse, and the atmosphere of interaction is also getting livelier? That's right, we have made some small updates to the Gate Square, hoping to create a more interesting and in-depth community for creators.
This time, the content mining gameplay has been upgraded, and creation rewards are directly doubled. Moreover, new and returning creators will also receive exclusive benefits to ensure that every contribution is rewarded.
We have always been promoting the parallel development of content and incentives, with the goal of allowing everyone to create with peace of mind and enjoy the process.
Friends with ideas, join us quickly and let's have fun in the Square together.

This week in the crypto world is a super data week! The Federal Reserve + Bank of Japan double impact, has the market reached a turning point?
Global financial markets are entering a "policy-sensitive window period," and four major events this Thursday will send a "series of shockwaves" to the cryptocurrency market nerves. Among them, the FOMC interest rate decision and the Bank of Japan's December monetary policy meeting minutes form the core variables, combined with key employment and inflation data, directly determining the short-term trend direction of mainstream coins like BTC and ETH, making it the first "Market Anchor Week" of 2026.
🔥 Four major red alert events: each could rewrite the market
1. Bank of Japan December monetary policy meeting minutes (Tuesday) — The "invisible switch" of global liquidity
As a key indicator of non-US monetary policy, the signals from this meeting's minutes are far beyond the norm. From the disclosed core viewpoints, the Japanese economy has shown signs of moderate recovery, corporate fixed investment continues to expand due to labor shortages, and in 2026, large corporate wage increases are likely to stay flat or exceed 2025, with core CPI inflation still on a gentle upward trend. More importantly, the market generally interprets the current BOJ policy tone as "paving the way for normalization," with the 10-year Japanese government bond yield rising to 1.12%, and the global risk-free rate center being passively lifted.
- Market impact logic: Bitcoin's correlation with the yen is currently as high as 0.84. If the minutes clearly signal a tendency to raise interest rates or tighten liquidity, a strengthening yen will divert safe-haven funds from the crypto market, potentially weakening BTC support at the $90,000 level, facing a short-term correction of 1.5%-3%; if the "gradual easing" statement is maintained, the yen depreciation expectation will continue, liquidity in risk assets will be replenished, and mainstream coins may see a weak rebound.
2. Federal Reserve FOMC interest rate decision + Powell press conference (Wednesday 03:00) — The absolute key turning point this week
Market expectations for interest rates to remain unchanged have reached 95%, with the real focus on Powell's policy statements and the March rate cut guidance. Currently, the Fed shows a "cautious dovish" split: Vice Chair Jefferson emphasizes "policy is in a favorable position," with no need for hasty action; meanwhile, markets worry that the Trump administration might nominate a new chair inclined towards easing, raising doubts about policy independence. More importantly, the 2026 dot plot shows only one 25 basis point rate cut planned, far below market expectations of a more easing cycle.
- Market impact logic:
- If Powell hints that "March is suitable for a rate cut," the dollar index is likely to break below the 103 key support, funds will shift from USD assets to risk markets, and BTC, ETH could start a wave of rally, with optimistic scenarios pushing BTC to the $95,000-$98,000 range (institutions forecast a full-year target of $170,000 in a loose cycle);
- If he emphasizes "inflation remains sticky, more data needed before cutting," it will reinforce the expectation of "higher interest rates lasting longer," and the dollar rebound will suppress crypto valuations, with mainstream coins possibly retracing to the $85,000-$88,000 range, high-leverage positions should beware of forced liquidation risks;
- Under neutral statements, the market will turn to subsequent economic data for guidance, and the trend may enter a narrow range with volatility dropping to recent lows.
3. US initial jobless claims until January 24 (Thursday 21:30) — The "touchstone" for rate cut expectations
Employment data is a core reference for Fed policy adjustments. Last week, initial jobless claims were 200,000, below the expected 210,000, indicating the labor market remains robust. As a lagging indicator, if this data shows unexpected volatility, it will directly alter the probability of a March rate cut.
- Market impact logic: If the data exceeds 220,000 (more weakness than expected), the market pricing for a March rate cut will rise from 35% to over 50%, risk appetite will increase, benefiting cryptocurrencies; if below 195,000 (strong employment), the rate cut expectation will cool, causing short-term selling pressure, and mainstream coins may see a quick 1%-2% correction.
4. US December PPI annual rate (Friday 21:30) — The "forward signal" of inflation transmission
PPI, as a leading indicator of CPI, directly reflects upstream price pressures. Currently, US core PCE inflation is stable at 2.8%, near the Fed's target zone. If PPI rebounds, it may trigger market concerns about a "second inflation surge."
- Market impact logic: PPI falling unexpectedly below 2.5% will solidify the deflationary logic, further strengthening easing expectations, and the crypto market may continue to rise; if PPI rises above 3% YoY, inflation stickiness concerns will suppress risk assets, with BTC testing the $88,000 support level or even triggering technical breakdowns.
Summary: The "life-and-death week" dominated by news, with clear operational logic
The core contradiction in the crypto market this week is the resonance between "Fed policy expectation adjustments" and "marginal changes in global liquidity," with a high probability of the trend showing a "reaction to the Bank of Japan first, then focusing on the Fed, and finally verifying economic data." For investors:
1. Avoid blindly chasing highs; current BTC valuation near $90,000 has partly priced in easing expectations, and hawkish Fed statements may trigger a "expectation gap correction";
2. Set stop-loss at key levels: long positions at $85,000, short positions at $92,000, to avoid gaps caused by news;
3. Pay attention to asset correlation signals: dollar index 103, Japanese bond yield 1.15%, S&P 500 at 5200 points—breakthrough directions of these three indicators will guide crypto market trends simultaneously.
Every major event this week could be the fuse for a market "turnaround," especially the Wednesday Fed decision, which will directly set the tone for February—whether to surge to new highs or correct and consolidate. The answer is about to be revealed. Stay alert throughout, respond rationally to volatility! $BTC $ETH

Unlicensed Vendors
@From city management's unwarranted crackdown to legal compliance
#Gate广场创作者新春激励 Market Analysis Today
If the past cryptocurrency market was like an unlicensed vendor wandering the streets, whose stall could be seized by city management at any moment, then a series of recent news essentially announces that this vendor has not only obtained a business license but even the city management team is stepping in to help him run his business. The most significant news is the joint meeting scheduled for January 27 between the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). In the past, these two agencies were like cats and dogs in the crypto world, fighting over who should regulate and how to penalize. Now, they are sitting together to discuss how to implement Trump’s “Global Crypto Capital” agenda. This indicates a fundamental reversal in regulatory logic: from the previous “arrest first, then talk” approach to “set rules first, then act.” This shift from “enforcement” to “legislation” marks the ultimate watershed for the industry’s transition from the fringe to mainstream.
This change in direction is most directly reflected in the “clearing of old accounts.” The SEC has revoked its civil lawsuit against the Gi exchange, and it’s a complete withdrawal—meaning they won’t sue again in the future. This was almost unimaginable a few years ago. In the past, the SEC was like a strict instructor with a magnifying glass, ready to label any financial product as “illegal securities” if you dared to create one. Now, the instructor has put down the baton and returned the confiscated teaching tools. This “rectification” sends a very strong signal: the era of regulation through lawsuits is over.
Meanwhile, Grayscale has seized the opportunity to submit an ETF application for BNB. If Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs are considered “appetizers,” then a BNB ETF—an asset with strong platform characteristics—would be akin to official recognition of exchange tokens’ legitimacy. This is not only a big gift for Binance but also opens a door for the entire industry to access traditional financial markets.
Speaking of traditional finance, Binance is not idle; they plan to relaunch the “stock token” trading that was halted four years ago. Simply put, it allows you to buy stocks of companies like Apple or Tesla on crypto exchanges, just like buying Bitcoin. This is essentially a “dimensionality reduction attack.” Previously, to buy US stocks, you had to open accounts, exchange currencies, and endure cross-border transfer hassles; now, if you can buy stocks directly with stablecoins, cryptocurrencies truly become a bridge connecting to real assets. Although current data shows that last year’s $35 trillion in stablecoin settlements only 1% was used for real-world purchases like bubble tea or payroll, with the remaining 99% still circulating within the crypto space, this highlights enormous potential. When stocks, bonds, and even bank licenses (such as Trump-related World Liberty Bank) start operating on the crypto track, that 1% of real-world applications will rapidly expand like a snowball.
Finally, we need to look at the macro-level “money flow.” Silver prices broke through $100, hitting a new all-time high, which is a big event in the investment world. Usually, the “old money” like gold and silver rises first, followed by Bitcoin—often called “digital gold”—leading the rally, and then various altcoins follow. The surge in silver often indicates that there is an excess of idle funds in the market. Coupled with Arthur Hayes’ mention of the yen exchange rate logic—if the Federal Reserve starts easing to stabilize global exchange rates, then for assets like Bitcoin that are highly sensitive to liquidity, it’s like pouring gasoline on a fire. The current situation is: the policy “straitjacket” has been removed, the “connective bridge” has been built, and the “great flood” at the macro level is imminent. We are standing at the crossroads of an old era ending and a new order beginning.

According to Dune data, on January 21st, the predicted market trading volume exceeded $814 million, setting a new record. The total trading volume for January has reached approximately $10.5 billion, and is expected to break the record. Kalshi remains the largest platform, with a Sunday trading volume of $535 million.

Future Outlook for #SHIBUSDT Cryptocurrency 🇺🇸 on the Four-Hour Time Frame
✨ Imminent Breakout ⚡️
Data:
* An ascending diagonal pattern is forming, referred to as wave (1)/(A). 📈
* A corrective downward zigzag wave, representing wave (2)/(B). 🔽
* The correction has significantly retraced compared to the previous wave. 📉
Predictions:
* Small upward impulsive waves are forming in the short term to complete wave 1 and establish a base for wave (3)/(C).
* The strong wave 3 is expected to propel wave (C)/(3), aiming to break the price channel and form a new high. 🚀
* The formation of impulsive waves from this region is critical to maintaining the bullish trend. 🔝
* The optimal target for the upward wave, if the scenario materializes, is 0.00001102. 🎯
⚠️ Breaking the 0.00000682 level will threaten the bullish scenario and could invalidate it. #SHİB #Ship $SHIB

January 19 News, as the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations for January rapidly cooled down, the cryptocurrency market came under significant pressure this week. Rate futures-related tools indicate that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January has risen to about 95%, with the current target range still at 3.50%–3.75%, and the possibility of a rate cut remaining at about 5%. This shift quickly impacted risk asset sentiment, with Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP all weakening simultaneously.
From a longer-term perspective, the policy expectations for the March meeting are also leaning towards caution. Market data shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve holding steady in March is about 75%, with the scope for rate cuts compressed to about 25%. Against the backdrop of limited liquidity expectations, volatility in the crypto market has significantly increased, and short-term funds are becoming more conservative.

Good morning, $DOGE Fam!☕️🐶
Happy weekend, you beautiful diamond paws!☕🐾💎😎✌️
Dogecoin to the moon!🚀🌑
Let's go!🔥🐕

2026: Ethereum's "Nvidia Moment"—When Wall Street's Trillions Pour into Public Blockchains, History Stands at a Critical Point
This is Ethereum's quietest yet most dangerous moment.
The danger isn't in a collapse, but in most people still not realizing: when JPMorgan moves money market funds directly onto the Ethereum mainnet, when BlackRock's $10 trillion asset management empire chooses Ethereum as the foundation for asset tokenization, and when the US Congress lays out the red carpet for stablecoins—these seemingly independent signals are converging into a shockwave that could rewrite financial history.
2026 may become Ethereum's "Nvidia Moment": not because it skyrockets tenfold, but because it completes an irreversible leap from "geek toy" to "institutional infrastructure."
A Decade-long Journey: From Laboratory to Wall Street's "Default Option"
In 2015, when Vitalik Buterin wrote the first line of Ethereum code at the blockchain lab, Wall Street bankers were still using fax machines for cross-border settlements. Who could have imagined that this experiment, mocked as "the world's computer," would, ten years later, become the default choice of the "financial internet" jointly selected by BlackRock, Fidelity, and JPMorgan?
The turning point occurred in Q4 2025. JPMorgan was no longer satisfied with "blockchain research" and directly deployed money market funds on the Ethereum mainnet, becoming the first systemically important bank to move core operations onto a public chain. Fidelity followed closely, migrating trillions of dollars in assets to Ethereum layer-1. Meanwhile, BlackRock's tokenized money market fund BUIDL, managing $10 trillion, sent an unmistakable signal to the market: asset tokenization is not the future, but the present.
The logic behind these institutions' choices is astonishingly consistent: the transformative power of blockchain on assets is akin to the internet's reshaping of information. When stocks, bonds, and real estate can circulate digitally 24/7 worldwide, and when assets, data, and payments are integrated into a single infrastructure, the entire financial system's efficiency will leap quantumly. This isn't an upgrade; it's a generational leap from the fax machine era to the internet era.
Ethereum's victory isn't because it's the cheapest or fastest, but because it's the most neutral, secure, and uncontrollable global infrastructure. Just like the internet doesn't belong to any single entity, Ethereum's public nature allows anyone to build on it, but no one can control it. For JPMorgan and others, this is more important than any technological advantage.
Stablecoins: The "$10 Trillion" Dollar "Software Upgrade" Behind the US Dollar
If asset tokenization is a long-term revolution, stablecoins are the first truly operational business model. In 2025, stablecoin transfer volume surpassed $10 trillion, silently completing a "software upgrade" of the dollar—from physical currency to programmable digital dollars.
Behind this number is a fundamental revolution in the monetary system. When cross-border payments are shortened from 3 days to 3 seconds, when companies automate trillion-dollar cash flows with smart contracts, and when ordinary users can hold digital dollars without bank accounts—these changes form a digital moat around US dollar hegemony.
The US government has understood this. In 2025, the GENIUS Act not only established a regulatory framework for stablecoins but also defined public blockchains as "the core tool to consolidate the dollar’s position in the 21st century." The US Treasury has repeatedly stated: "Whoever controls digital dollars controls the future of finance."
On the stablecoin battlefield, Ethereum already holds 60% of the market share (up to 90% if including EVM-compatible chains). When SoFi, a national bank, becomes the first commercial bank to issue stablecoins on a public chain, its platform choice is no surprise—Ethereum. This is just the beginning—Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and other Wall Street investment banks, as well as fintech giants like Stripe and PayPal, are lining up to issue Ethereum-native stablecoins.
The digital migration of the US dollar is fully underway, and Ethereum is the only high-speed highway in this migration.
Layer2 Revolution: Does Every Company Need Its Own Blockchain?
"Ethereum mainnet is the internet; Layer2 is each company's dedicated website."
This analogy is becoming reality. Coinbase built the Base chain on Ethereum, enjoying the security of the mainnet while opening up new revenue streams. Robinhood is developing its own Layer2, integrating tokenized stocks, prediction markets, and various assets. Even SWIFT, the global interbank messaging system, has chosen Ethereum Layer2 network Linea for blockchain settlement.
The charm of Layer2 lies in "getting both": companies gain the security and global liquidity of Ethereum mainnet while maintaining customization and profit margins. More importantly, these Layer2 networks are interconnected, forming a composable financial super-network.
Robinhood's explanation hits the core pain point for institutions: "Building truly decentralized secure chains is extremely difficult... but with Ethereum, we automatically gain security." This encapsulates why institutions choose Ethereum: ten years of security validation + network effects + Layer2 customization = the current optimal solution.
Latest data as of January 2026 shows: the total value locked (TVL) in Ethereum Layer2 has surpassed $100 billion, a 400% increase from 2024. Arbitrum, Optimism, and Base process over 20 million transactions daily, with fees only 1/50 of Ethereum mainnet.
Regulatory Reversal: From Biggest Obstacle to Strongest Dividend
Over the past decade, regulation was the biggest obstacle to Ethereum's institutionalization. In 2025, this obstacle turned into a rocket booster.
New SEC Chair Paul Atkins explicitly stated: "Within the next two years, all markets in the US will be on-chain." This is not just a slogan— the GENIUS Act has paved the way for stablecoins, and the upcoming CLARITY Act will provide a complete legal framework for asset tokenization.
But the most significant signal comes from DTCC (Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation). This institution, which manages the world's most critical financial infrastructure, explicitly supported asset tokenization in 2025, allowing assets deposited in its system to circulate on public chains like Ethereum. This is akin to giving an official pass for the bridge between traditional finance and blockchain worlds.
Key regulatory milestones in 2026:
• January: Senate advances the Market Structure Act, ending the jurisdiction dispute between SEC and CFTC
• May 15: Fed Chair Powell's term ends; Trump may nominate a more dovish candidate
• July 1: California's Digital Financial Assets Law takes effect, establishing the regulatory framework for the largest US state
• July 18: Deadline for the GENIUS Act's supplementary rules, full stablecoin compliance
Regulation is no longer a barrier but a "pass" for trillion-dollar institutional capital to enter.
ETH Revaluation: From "Digital Oil" to Core Asset for Institutions
When infrastructure, applications, and regulation are all in place, ETH's value revaluation becomes inevitable.
Bitcoin's narrative is "digital gold"—a store of value. ETH's narrative is "digital oil"—not only fuel but the underlying asset of a new financial internet. Holding ETH is like holding equity, access rights, and fuel for the entire Ethereum ecosystem.
Data speaks volumes:
• In 2025, four "MicroStrategy-style" institutions collectively bought 4.5% of ETH's circulating supply (MicroStrategy's 3.2% Bitcoin holding already pushed BTC institutionalization)
• Tokenized assets grew from $6 billion to $18 billion, with 66% deployed on Ethereum
• Stablecoins reached $308 billion, with 60% on Ethereum network
• Layer2 ecosystem TVL surpassed $100 billion, with an annual growth rate of 400%
Analysts predict that in 2026, ETH will grow at least 5x, reaching a market cap of $2 trillion—comparable to Bitcoin today. This sounds aggressive, but if 20-30% of the $22.3 trillion circulating US dollars migrate to blockchain, and asset tokenization moves from experimentation to large-scale deployment, the fundamental revaluation of Ethereum's network value will occur.
Latest data as of January 15, 2026: ETH price hovers around $3,300, down 55% from the 2024 high, but exchange balances are at their lowest since 2018, with long-term holders (>1 year) accounting for 68.5%. This isn't a bear market feature but a typical signal of institutional accumulation.
2026 Predictions: A Thrilling Gamble
Market consensus on Ethereum is far from formed, and this is precisely the greatest opportunity.
Bullish camp (Bernstein, Ripple CEO, JPMorgan):
• 2026 BTC target $150,000–$180,000; if ETH/BTC ratio rebounds to 0.06, ETH could reach $10,800
• JPMorgan forecasts over $130 billion in crypto inflows in 2026, far exceeding 2025
• Bitwise predicts ETH will break its four-year cycle and hit new highs in 2026
Cautious camp (CryptoQuant, some institutions):
• If demand weakens, BTC could dip to $70,000 support, with ETH pressured to $2000–$2500
• Waiting for the implementation of the Market Structure Act and clearer Fed policies
Our view: 2026 will be Ethereum's "守正出奇" year.
• 守正 (Maintain the right course): Allocate 30% of your portfolio to ETH as a core asset to enjoy institutional benefits
• 出奇 (Seek innovation): Explore 10x opportunities in new tracks like Layer2 ecosystems (ARB, OP), RWA tokenization (MKR, COMP), AI agent tokens (FET, AGIX)
The critical point has arrived: which side of history are you on?
Ethereum in 2026 is very much like the internet in 1995.
Back then, the network cables were laid, browsers had just been born, and e-commerce was in its infancy, but few truly understood. Those who chose to believe and bet at that time became the rule-makers of the new world ten years later.
Today, Ethereum's infrastructure has been refined for a decade, institutions are voting with real money, regulation has shifted from obstacle to booster, and Layer2 makes customization possible—all the accumulated groundwork is now at a tipping point.
This isn't a surge driven by a specific event but a turning point where the entire ecosystem shifts from "possibility" to "inevitability." Just like the internet in 1995 transformed from a geek toy into a fundamental business infrastructure, Ethereum is experiencing its "Nvidia Moment": not because it suddenly got better, but because the world is finally ready.
Those who choose to bet heavily at this moment may look back years later and realize they were at the starting point of a paradigm shift.
💬 Interactive Topic: Do you think ETH can break $10,000 in 2026? Or will it oscillate around $3,000? Leave your judgment and reasons in the comments, and give a thumbs up.
📣 Call to Action: If you agree that "2026 is Ethereum's institutionalization year," please share this article with friends who are following crypto assets.
👤 Follow me for daily in-depth analysis of global asset allocation, and let's seize high-growth opportunities within certainty!
Risk Warning: The views expressed in this article are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; please make decisions cautiously according to your risk tolerance.
#Gate广场创作者新春激励 $ETH

#我的2026第一条帖 Bitcoin hits a new high of $97,899! Ethereum fluctuates around $3,330. Is it a good time to buy the dip or sell at the top on January 15?
In-depth technical analysis: oscillations and breakthroughs under multi-timeframe resonance
(1) Bitcoin: consolidating with high-level oscillations, a breakout requires volume support. From a daily chart perspective, Bitcoin shows a stair-step upward pattern. On January 14, it closed with a bullish candle with upper and lower shadows, confirming a breakout of the key resistance zone at $95,000. The current price remains stably above the EMA30 ($93,006), with the EMA7 and EMA30 maintaining a golden cross. The 120-day moving average ($91,126) provides solid long-term support. The MACD indicator continues to expand, indicating a strong medium-term bullish trend. The 4-hour chart shows a high-level oscillation structure, with the price reaching a high of $97,899 after breaking previous highs, then slightly retreating to around $96,800. Technical indicators show that DIF and DEA remain in a bullish alignment, but the MACD histogram is shrinking, suggesting short-term bullish momentum is waning. Key resistance is concentrated in the $97,800–$98,000 range, which is both a previous high and an important psychological level, with noticeable selling pressure. Support levels include immediate support at $96,000, with further support at $95,000 and $93,400; the latter coincides with EMA30 and provides strong support. In the short term, Bitcoin is in a “confirmation stage after breakout.” If it can stabilize above $96,000 and volume supports, it may attempt to challenge the $98,000 resistance again. If it falls below $95,000, a correction toward $93,400 or even EMA30 is possible.
(2) Ethereum: mainly oscillating within a range, waiting for a breakout of key resistance on the daily chart. Currently, Ethereum is in a balanced state between bulls and bears, fluctuating around $3,300. Although it temporarily stays above short-term moving averages, it remains constrained by the dense resistance zone formed by the 50-day ($3,128), 100-day ($3,292), and 200-day ($3,342) moving averages. Multiple tests of this zone have failed to break through effectively, indicating heavy selling pressure above. The RSI is at 51.0, in a neutral zone, and the MACD is also neutral, not indicating a clear bullish or bearish trend, suggesting market buying and selling forces are relatively balanced. The 4-hour chart shows Ethereum maintaining a “higher lows” short-term upward structure. After bouncing from support at $3,280, it rose to around $3,402 and is now oscillating near $3,330. Key resistance is in the $3,390–$3,400 range, coinciding with recent rebound highs and Fibonacci retracement levels. Further resistance targets $3,450, the previous high in the range. Support levels include immediate support at $3,300, a recent low at $3,280, and a significant structural support at $3,100, which overlaps with the upper boundary of the previous consolidation zone. Technical patterns indicate Ethereum is in a “consolidation and accumulation phase.” The short-term trend depends on whether it can break through $3,400. If successful with increased volume, it could open room to rise toward $3,450. If it fails to break through, a correction back to the $3,300–$3,280 support zone is possible. Falling below $3,280 may lead to further decline toward $3,100.