Greenyeth

My 2026 outlook: lower before higher before macro bearish lower

Trading rules I learned the expensive way:
If you’re emotional, your size is wrong.
If you’re greedy, it’s time to pay yourself.
If you’re scared, you’re overexposed.
If you’re tilted, log off and take a break.
If a trade keeps you awake, you’re gambling.
If you’re forcing it, you don’t have a setup.
If you’re overtrading, you lack patience.
If you’re chasing FOMO, you’re exit liquidity.
If you trade every meta, you have no edge.
If you don’t journal, you’ll repeat mistakes.
If the chart looks messy, zoom out.
If price is chopping, wait for structure.
If you can’t define risk, don’t touch it.

If I was 20 again, I’d stop chasing fun and start building leverage.
I’d learn how to code and how to use AI properly - not for prompts, but for building systems, automations, content, research and businesses. The people who master AI won’t replace jobs, they’ll replace companies.
I’d invest weekly even if it was $10. Bitcoin. S&P500. Gold. Boring and consistency builds wealth.
I’d take uncomfortable jobs, ask stupid questions and risk looking behind, because comfort delays growth more than failure ever will.
I’d treat health like a non-negotiable. Less alcohol. Less parties. More gym. More co

I’ve been in crypto long enough to watch the same emotional crashouts repeat and people right now are stating 'there's no more upside left in Crypto'.
In the early years, everything felt easy. You bought almost anything, waited and price eventually bailed you out. Timing mattered more than skill, conviction mattered more than execution. That environment trained people to believe they were good, when in reality the market was just generous because you were early to a new asset class.
Then things changed.
Liquidity stopped lifting everything. Correlations broke, attention fragmented and suddenly

At 25, I thought I was doing fine. At 30, I realised I was leaking time, money and energy every day and calling it living.
I had fun. Nights out, trips, saying yes so I wouldn’t miss out. Some of it mattered, but a lot of it didn’t. The problem wasn’t spending - it was spending without intention, then wondering why I always felt a step behind.
I told myself I’d budget later, invest later, focus on health later - when I made more money or had more clarity. Later never came. What I really needed wasn’t more income, it was awareness. Knowing where my money went. Starting small, but being consiste

People only talk about their wins.
So here are my most brutal losses and what they did to my psychology. I’ve been in debt, I've had a $40k car loan, a $10k tax bill and ~$500 in my account. I had no budget, no structure, no real plan.
In 2020, I actually did things right. I bought BTC and ETH consistently, built a portfolio worth ~$75k then pulled $15k out to buy a $55k car with a $40k loan. That decision is where it all started to grow wrong.
Later in 2022, I lost ~$40k to an NFT scam and tried to “win it back.” I chased random NFT mints, derivative projects and altcoins shilled by people w

Motivation is unreliable. Structure isn’t.
When I had no routine, every decision felt heavy. I overtraded, overspent and reacted emotionally. Not because I was lazy, but because I was overloaded. Budgets, automation, checklists, rules, boring tools with powerful outcomes.
The goal isn’t to be motivated every day, t’s to build systems that still work on your worst days. That’s true in trading and in life.

Greed rarely feels reckless in the moment. It feels reasonable, you feel like you're handling it in a mature way.
Yet thoughts run through your head; 'just this once', 'I deserve this win' or 'nah this one’s different'. That’s why it’s dangerous. It disguises itself as confidence, as that 'little bit more'. Every major mistake I’ve made in Crypto came after a period of wins not losses.
Wins quickly lower your standards if you don’t notice it happening or stick to a strict trading regime.

The most expensive mistakes I’ve made weren’t bad trades, they were moments where I abandoned my own rules because I felt something.
Whether it was revenge trading, over-sizing into positions, holding losers because 'surely they come back it’ll come back or letting ego get the better of my planning.
I’ve lost money fast enough to make your stomach drop, I’ve sat in positions I knew were wrong and froze anyway. I’ve trusted people I shouldn’t have because I wanted things to be easy.
None of that taught me how to win, but it taught me how to survive. Now I assume I’m fallible in every single tra

Most people think trading is about finding winners. It isn’t. It’s about controlling losses.
Anyone can hold a green position. Very few can cut a red one without freezing or revenge trading. Losses aren’t the enemy unmanaged losses are.
Once I stopped trying to avoid losing and started planning for it, everything changed. Risk became measurable. Emotions became quieter and decisions became repeatable.
If you don’t know exactly how much you’re willing to lose before you enter, you’re not trading you’re hoping and gambling.

I didn’t become a better trader by finding better indicators. I became better when I stopped trying to outsmart the market and started trying to understand it.
My background is teaching, not finance. That sounds irrelevant, but it shaped how I approached everything in Crypto. Teachers don’t care about the answer, they care about the process, about whether a student actually understands why the answer works. Market understand works in the same way.
Most people chase certainty, but like all things in life certainty doesn’t exist, but probability does.
Trading taught me that confusion is expensiv

Maybe this is why Trump is so interested in Venezuela