GertVanLagen
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Fair value gap $88-$89k is being filled.
Hidden Bullish Divergence between Nov-21, Dec-1 and Dec-5 lows.
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Core PCE YoY printed at 2.8% vs 2.9% expected — the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge continues to cool.
Perfect setup for risk-on momentum and a potential rate cut next week.
Santa rally, anyone? 🎅🚀
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#DXY [1W] got rejected twice after breakout from this bearish Expanding Triangle.
A bearish continuation is historically bullish for risk-on assets like Bitcoin.
BTC-3.51%
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#Bitcoin is echoing GOOGL’s pre–blow-off ’07: same Bollinger Bandwidth squeeze, same Elliott Wave rhythm.
When everyone is fixated on “diminishing returns,” this kind of tightening often precedes the opposite: a final expansion before bear market.
Ultra-bullish setup 🚀
BTC-3.51%
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2025 turns green again +
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This setup is identical to GOOGL prior to its final blow off wave, right before the 2008 financial crisis.
A cascade of lower highs on the Bollinger Bandwidth, which gets broken to feed the subsequent bearish HTF volatility.
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$BTC [1M] - Bollinger Band Width just dipped below 100 — flashing a rare green signal.
Historically, every time this triggers, Bitcoin follows with a direct parabolic leg up.
No red signal flashed in the previous months...
BTC-3.51%
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$BTC is down 76% from its next cycle peak
BTC-3.51%
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$BTC pre-halving sequence:
1 Red: Euphoria — blow-off to channel top
2 Green: Dead-cat bounce on the midline
3 Neon-green: Cycle bottom at the channel floor
This time, BTC has rejected the midline three times while holding higher lows on the 0.382.
Euphoria comes first at $390k. 🚀
#euphoriafirst
BTC-3.51%
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Accumulation Trend Score at highest level.
This is mainly seen during major impulses and during final parts of a correction.
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Bitcoin balance on exchanges dropped 3 percentage points overnight 🤯 — a level of outflow never seen during bear markets and historically aligned with parabolic upside moves ONLY.
This pace is unprecedented, and suggests an unseen liquidity squeeze is forming. 🧨
BTC-3.51%
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Number of whale wallets is exploding at the fastest pace ever. Unseen in 2013 or 2016.
This is record-high accumulation.
When whales load up like this, the market doesn’t drift… it erupts. 🌋
Bear markets start only after significant distribution.
BLOW-OFF TOP inbound 🍌
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#SP500 [2W] Update: The index has reached the Cup & Handle target drawn in 2023.
It is currently distributing along the 100-year yellow trend line, which connects the 1929 and 2000 tops—both of which were followed by major recessions.
With stocks highly overbought, gold blowing off and the yield spread beginning to widen after a prolonged inversion, conditions point toward a significant recession.
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#Ethereum follows a textbook Expanding Diagonal pattern.
Wave v is in its final stages, forming the concluding corrective a-b-c structure.
+ Wave a has already broken above the horizontal resistance at $3,650.
+ Currently, wave b is finding support within the key liquidity zone (FVG + HTF SMA)
+ The final impulse, wave c, is targeting the green box between $9,000–$18,000.
ETH-4.95%
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$XRP [1M] - Double retest of the double-bottom breakout.
XRP-3.6%
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Second retest of this 5Y Hyperphone, both retests qualify as a small megaphone themselves.
Target: ±$340k
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MUST-READ
Since 2009:
+ After every halving, $BTC has broken above the channel midline before retesting the 210k-block SMA / lower trend line.
+ Every midline break has ended in a blow-off top at the upper trend line (orange)
This cycle:
+ 3 midline rejections → bounce at the 0.382 line → price now sitting on 0.382 again.
The next logical move is the upper trend line around $350K–$400K. 🚀🟧
Then bear market and retest of the 210k-block SMA / lower trend line.
BTC-3.51%
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$BTC is already down 75% from its incoming ATH.
It’s a bear market indeed 🤔
BTC-3.51%
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For price to collapse here would be a true anomaly:
It would need to
+ break the 12-year uptrend since Jul-2013
+ dive into yearly VWAP (blue) — only tested during capitulation after 6+ months of bear conditions.
Not impossible, but extremely unlikely.
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For price to collapse here would be a true anomaly:
It would need to
+ break the 12-year uptrend since Jul-2013
+ dive into yearly VWAP (blue) — only tested during capitulation after 6+ months of bear conditions.
Not impossible, but extremely unlikely.
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