CryptoPhineas

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Age 7.9 Yıl
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Housewives are the most affected by infidelity, but have you ever seen a mother of three cheat? Or a mother with four, five, or six children? Does she still have the leisure to cheat?
Regardless of gender, after eating and drinking well, those with plenty of free time are more likely to cheat.
This is also why there are so many casual encounters at tourist destinations.
People come to vacation because they are free and wealthy.
Having money and free time makes it normal to want to have a quick fling; it's something ingrained in our genes.
Many say that nurses, teachers, and civil servants chea
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In the past five years, no large copper deposits have been discovered.
And since 1991, ore grades have decreased by 40%... The shortage is more severe than oil.
China is the world's largest producer and consumer of air conditioners,
80% of copper consumption needs to be imported.
Those who missed out on gold and silver can take a look at copper.
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The financial industry associations in Mainland China jointly issued a statement defining RWA and stablecoins as illegal financial activities. Many people see this as negative news, but if you truly understand the characteristics of Mainland China, you should know that this has already become old news. Over the past few years, whether it is the central bank or various financial associations, they have labeled exchanges, stablecoins, cryptocurrency promotion, and RWA as illegal financial activities. However, up to now, there has been no clear law or regulation specifying which law is violated.
RWA-2,67%
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The current total market value of gold is approximately $30 trillion.
The size of US debt is $37.5 trillion.
If global central banks buy gold to hedge against the risk of US debt default,
then the total market value of gold in this round should be comparable to the size of US debt.
To reach a market value of $37.5 trillion, gold needs to increase by another 25%.
Converted to price, that is $5,375 per ounce.
This price should be the cyclical top of this phase.
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SailorSambavip:
Gather strength during declines, stay calm during rises, cycle repeatedly, only then can you see tranquility and wisdom.
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A recent book I read — "Parallelism and Competition"
This book was published in 2021, when the real estate market had not yet experienced a nationwide collapse. The author mentions in the preface that he believes, with the strong development of China's manufacturing and industrial strength, the overall economic size has reached a stage where it can rival the United States. Additionally, due to the recent decades of manufacturing hollowing out in the US, a mechanism of global parallel confrontation and cooperation has emerged between the two countries and their respective camps, reflecting the
BTC-1,8%
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SailorSambavip:
😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀
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Advice for Ordinary People in the Next Five Years
1: Exercise regularly (preferably focusing on cardiovascular health)
2: Stockpile precious metals and $BTC (if gold is unaffordable, consider silver)
3: Learn English (no need for certification, just ensure conversational ability)
4: Do not buy property
Avoid large-scale consumption in the next three years; save as much money as possible.
It is expected that in three years there may be a brief economic recovery or high welfare (though unsustainable, at least better than now).
Additional suggestions:
1: Learn some basic medical skills to handle
BTC-1,8%
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2026 Market Outlook — A Review of Investment Opportunities for Next Year
Let's start with the main points.
The opportunities in China's stock market will be limited next year; the index has already peaked, and only a few sectors may experience a rally. Most other sectors will likely fluctuate at high levels.
The US stock bull market could last until around Q3 next year before reaching a phase top, providing quite a few opportunities.
In commodities, gold could reach a maximum of 4700; other non-ferrous metals are in the process of hitting their peaks and are probably expected to top out in Q1
BTC-1,8%
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Precious metals'狂暴 bull market beyond imagination
Gold: Don't speak of a top lightly.
Silver: Gold never admits a top; whoever dares is brave.
Shanghai Copper: Has reached a new high; the sky's the limit.
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The only current era dividend is maintaining good health. Because now, what people are competing for is not work, not houses and cars, but a good mindset and deep sleep.
While everyone is rolling in the quagmire of information overload, anxiety, and insomnia, being able to eat well, sleep soundly, stay emotionally stable, and have abundant energy is itself a form of a dimensionality reduction attack. Your body is the most hardcore productive asset and safety asset in this era.
There is also a more critical reason: the lifespan dividend brought by technological explosion is only reserved for th
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Seeing the current state of the crypto world turning into a pile of dog shit, I suddenly remembered the leaked recording from 2018 where Li Xiaolai said, “Regulation is meant to protect retail investors. Many retail investors think regulation is there to harm them. If this circle had regulation, we wouldn’t dare to recklessly cut leeks.” Thinking about it, that makes sense. In 2023, during the Biden administration, although there was continued crackdown on cryptocurrencies, the industry was still developing normally, and project teams of altcoins were actually working on real projects. Everyon
LADYS-4,7%
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The economic miracle of China over the past few decades actually boils down to two things.
First, exporting production capacity worldwide to earn money from developed countries.
Second, leveraging the entire population in real estate to earn the future thirty years' income of ordinary people, which has now been spent.
This is the true prosperity seen over the past few decades.
But it is also an inevitable and unsustainable prosperity.
After all, you cannot become the sole supplier of the whole world, and the purpose of globalization is not for one country to monopolize global supply. This is u
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The Federal Reserve's 25 basis point rate cut is completely within expectations.
Summary of Powell’s speech:
1. This round of rate cuts has ended, and there will be a pause afterward, similar to the three rate cuts at the end of 2024.
2. The entire rate-cut cycle has not ended; at least no one is considering a rate hike.
3. Looking at non-farm payrolls, the real data is roughly around -20,000 per month. Due to statistical and modeling reasons, non-farm payrolls do not truly reflect reality.
4. Buying short-term bonds is to ensure sufficient liquidity, thereby maintaining interest rates.
The ab
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SailorSambavip:
Currently, there is widespread wailing outside, believing we have entered a bear market, but I hope that, as you said, the first quarter of 26 can bring a good outcome.
$ETH When ETH is strong, altcoins are also supposed to be strong according to normal logic. So why do altcoins still look like they are dead?
ETH-0,3%
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SailorSambavip:
What is the daughter of the older uncle called the wife of the younger uncle? Currently, it seems that only Gemini is correct. This is the test result!
Revisiting the Bitcoin White Paper
In recent days, I rediscovered a familiar PDF file: the Bitcoin White Paper. Not to speculate on coins, nor to review the market trends, but to once again experience the design journey of this system.
"That author from 16 years ago had a thinking logic far deeper than ours in the 2020s."
As early as 2008, when feature phones still dominated the mobile market and payments relied on U-shields and verification codes, Satoshi Nakamoto wrote a document outlining:
1️⃣ A global payment settlement system that doesn't rely on any central authority;
2️⃣ A trust mechani
BTC-1,8%
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In a few hours, the FOMC results will be announced. The market currently largely considers a 25bp rate cut as a given, and in fact, this expectation has already been priced in. The real uncertainties remaining are actually twofold— the stance of the dot plot and Powell’s statements. At this stage, making a directional move is similar to gambling on size; if you get the direction right, it's satisfying, but if wrong, you get swept away. The initiative is actually in your own hands—you can either stay completely flat and wait for things to settle, or preemptively close positions to capitalize on
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BraveTheWindAndWavesvip:
Volatility is an opportunity 📊
When will China’s next upward cycle of national fortune begin? And how long will it last?
This is not fortune-telling, but rather an attempt to find the “potentially historically chosen window” by analyzing historical patterns, structural conditions, and current realities.
My prediction (combining current realities and structural variables) is:
The next upward cycle of China’s national fortune could start as early as 2026-2027,
with the real takeoff occurring between 2028-2030,
and, if all goes well, it could last until around 2040.
Why this prediction? (Core variable analysis)
1. The shift fr
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AllInstantNoodlesvip:
Brother Jiu, is Polkadot still saved?
You shouldn't study $ETH 's technical upgrades and degree of decentralization too deeply—the deeper you research, the more you'll want to go all in, which is a very scary thing.
ETH-0,3%
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The next innovation boom in the cryptocurrency industry will definitely be in RWA.
The DeFi track in the crypto space has basically reached its peak, having produced phenomenal products like $AAVE , which, as the largest blockchain bank, is now mature.
People have played around in the MEME track only to find that most are scams—when the hype fades, there's nothing left, and only a very few MEME coins manage to survive.
The L2 narrative has been disproved; after Ethereum’s upgrade, there’s really no need for so many L2s. In fact, L2s are just leeching off Ethereum and dragging down $ETH ’s deve
AAVE-1,8%
ETH-0,3%
SOL-0,31%
BNB-0,17%
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Value investing, value reversion, and trend following
Trend following generally refers to technical trend following. I’m not a big fan of this trading method, and in most cases, it’s unlikely to be profitable because it’s easy to falsify. For example, if you use the simplest dual moving average crossover for backtesting, it’s basically dominated by losses.
Moreover, I believe that trend following based on tracking candlestick charts lacks investment logic, because you’re not buying the candlesticks themselves, but rather the assets represented by the candlesticks. In this regard, I’m more in f
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These two doomed projects, $ARB and $OP , probably trapped quite a few people. Looking at the monthly chart, the trend is still downward. From a technical development perspective, isn't L2 just a pseudo-demand? After Ethereum's technical upgrade, there really won't be a need for so many L2s. Friends who are stuck holding these two coins, it's time to wake up and stop fantasizing. However, after a significant drop, there will always be some rebound. If ARB rebounds to around 0.5 and OP rebounds to around 0.7, those are good opportunities to exit—don't get trapped even deeper, or it will be pai
ARB-1,76%
OP-1,3%
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BraveTheWindAndWavesvip:
Getting lower and lower
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