AxelAdlerJr

You can say all you want that BTC is fine, but the data tells a different story: the model classifies the current regime for STH as Deep Stress.
A detailed breakdown of the framework is here:

Bitcoin Realized Loss (7DMA) hit $2.3B - a level exceeded only once: during the Luna crash in June 2022.
But here's the key difference: back then it was $19K and a systemic collapse. Now it's $67K and a correction from ATH. Same scale of pain, completely different context.
new ☕️ Adler AM 👇

Most traders don’t lose because of bad TA. They lose because they misread the regime.
This Sunday: Trader’s Evidence 1-page companion to the Weekly Engine.
On-chain + derivatives snapshot.
LLM-ready (prompt included): instant interpretation of stress, positioning, bias, and invalidation.
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Cango sold 4,451 BTC for $305M - panic or deleveraging?
Difficulty is down 14%, Puell <0.8, but miner exchange flows remain stable.
Full breakdown in ☕️Adler AM #102 👇

Market volatility will remain elevated for some time.

Welcome to the deep bear market.

The drop from $72K to $59K triggered the largest cascade of long liquidations since the start of the year. Short-term holders sent a record volume of losses to exchanges this year.new☕️Adler AM 👇

I’m really worried about what’s going to happen at the US market open!

The market is falling - which means it’s time to look for capitulation. We’re learning how to identify the bottom zone using a ready-made aNUPL model.

STH Under Heavy PressureBitcoin crashed to $71K, dragging short-term holders deep into loss territory. Both on-chain indicators - SOPR and MVRV - confirm the market has entered a phase of forced selling with loss realization.new ☕️ Adler AM 👇

Even though the market is currently in a Deep Stress + Strong Stress phase, we haven\'t reached full capitulation yet. Wait / keep your powder dry.

Global market sentiment this morning

Gold fell to $4,620 per ounce from $5,546, extending losses from the previous session after the sharpest drop in more than a decade. Market pressure intensified amid reports that US President Donald Trump is considering nominating Kevin Warsh, seen as a more hawkish choice, to lead the Federal Reserve.

Bitcoin Stress Index at Peak: Market Absorbs the ShockNew ☕️Adler AM 👇

The derivatives market showed a cascade of forced closures: over the past 24 hours, long liquidations reached extreme levels amid a sharp price drop to $82.9K. At the same time, Funding Rate remains in positive territory, which may indicate sustained demand for long exposure and incomplete deleveraging.☕️ Adler AM 👇

Great product, but very few stars.

Clear LTH accumulation is visible on the weekly timeframe.

This MVRV dashboard shows the market as it really is:where the crowd is in pain and where the edge is forming.Full breakdown of the Cohort MVRV Framework and actionable trade insights: