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Sharing some personal views: stop loss at 800 points for Bitcoin, 40 points for Ethereum. Pinned to the top.
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Weekly Review
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates as scheduled and signaled a dovish stance, but the AI sector faced pressure combined with US debt supply and sticky inflation. The market showed significant divergence, with the 10-year US Treasury yield down about 5 basis points for the week, while stock and bond performances diverged.
Key Events Next Week (Beijing Time)
1. Officials' speeches: Monday 22:30 Milan speech; 23:30 Williams (permanent voting member) on economic outlook; Thursday 01:30 Bostic (2027 voting member) comments, focusing on inflation judgment and rate cut pace, influen
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Weekend Short-term Strategy (With Stop-loss + Range Defense)
BTC
- Short position: Enter at 90800-91000
- Stop-loss: 91500 (Breaks previous high + 100 points to prevent false break)
- Targets: First 89800, second 89000 (Lower end of the range)
- Consolidation Range: Upper boundary 91200-91500, lower boundary 88800-89000
ETH
- Short position: Enter in batches at 3100-3080 (Optimize entry range, closer to resistance)
- Stop-loss: 3140 (Breaks recent rebound high to avoid chasing a fake move)
- Targets: First 3060, second 3030 (Lower end of the range)
- Consolidation Range: Upper boundary 3120-31
BTC-0.49%
ETH-0.2%
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12.12 Morning Analysis
Bitcoin failed to hold the EMA15 support level of 91,000 today, retraced to the middle Bollinger Band at 89,900, while the upper Bollinger Band pressed down to 94,200; MACD expanded but the price pulled back, with DIF and DEA diverging at low levels. 89,900 is a short-term critical support; losing it will prolong the bearish trend. After breaking the trend indicator, the market entered consolidation, with MACD shrinking, and DIF and DEA diverging around the 0 axis. The Bollinger Bands range from 88,800 (lower band) to 93,700 (upper band), indicating a short-term pullback
BTC-0.49%
ETH-0.2%
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Thursday SOL Analysis
SOL 4H is currently in a large range consolidation phase, with the 125 level being the last strong support for the bulls. A break below warrants caution.
If the price retraces to and stabilizes around 125, there may be an opportunity for a short-term rebound. Short-term resistance above is at the 135 level.
Operational suggestion:
Buy on dips at 125-127, target 135-140.#加密市场反弹
SOL-0.94%
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#美联储降息预测 The market tonight is really explosive.
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RedRedFlyingFlyingvip:
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