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#美联储降息预测 Market Expectations: CME FedWatch shows that the market now estimates about a 70% probability of the first Fed rate cut in December. If inflation data aligns, a shift in liquidity will become the key narrative. We'll see if there's another chance for a rally and have a good Christmas before heading into the depths next year. Exiting is definitely the primary goal.
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#十二月行情展望 This wave is called the Christmas rebound➕, the December rate cut expectation rally. It's also another chance to keep exiting. The big trend is already set, so let's see how high this wave can bounce. Recover what you can, and get ready to face the real winter next year.
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#成长值抽奖赢iPhone17和周边 Rebound market is suitable for lying flat.
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Buying US stocks in the crypto world is the most absurd design, completely detached from the essence of the crypto world. The core of the crypto world is coins, it is about games, it is about Cryptocurrency Trading, it is about big pumps and big dumps. Without coins, it is no longer the crypto world.
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#Gate广场圣诞送温暖
[GT Full Cycle In-depth Review]
In April 2019, GT was launched with a total supply of 300 million. From initially being used only for platform fee discounts to now building a complete ecological closed loop, its value evolution path is worth a thorough review.
Value Cornerstone: Deflationary Model and Ecological Expansion
Over six years, GT has cumulatively burned more than 178 million tokens, with an actual circulation of less than 100 million. The annualized deflation rate remains high at 8%. This extreme deflation mechanism, combined with the platform's continuously growin
GT-2.84%
BNB-2.84%
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#Gate广场圣诞送温暖 The current market is "Bears are lurking". We should adjust our trading strategy to be cautious of bears. If trapped in a coin, pump it up to escape with a stop loss. Even in a Bear Market, there will be localized movements. Next, we have the December interest rate cut expectations and the Christmas gift coins market, so be prepared to exit.
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#Gate广场圣诞送温暖 The timing for issuing the coin is too poor, and the valuation is too high. The amount of airdrop is quite large; I have over 10,000. This coin requires cautious catching a falling knife.
MON-3.43%
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Snailvip:
Pump and then dump.
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Future Pathways: Finding Structural Opportunities Amidst Pessimism
Although the market has not yet reached a true bear market of liquidity exhaustion, we must accept the reality that a "broad-based bull market is difficult to achieve." Opportunities exist in specific areas:
· Layer2 ecosystem: If OP can hold the support at $0.29 and rebound to $0.42-$0.46, there may be an opportunity for a rebound from oversold conditions;
· Staking and RWA: Compliance yield agreements such as ETH staking ETFs;
· Participate in Meme coins with caution: The hundredfold myth of CHEEMS is hard to come by, so just
OP-8.26%
ETH-5.02%
CHEEMS-3.1%
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The Curse of Leverage: Awakening from "k BNB Get Liquidated"
In 2020, during the "3.12" incident, I nearly went bankrupt due to light leverage. Now, with even greater market volatility, the daily contract liquidation exceeds 1 billion USD. Leverage is the enemy of reason, not a shortcut to profit. In the current situation of increased volatility, prioritize deleveraging and switch to spot dollar-cost averaging, especially focusing on BTC and ETH. My principle: only buy the dip in Bitcoin, as it has the best liquidity and stronger resistance to declines; the rebound of altcoins may be a long ti
BNB-2.84%
BTC-2.44%
ETH-5.02%
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Liquidity Differentiation: Insights from the Solana ETF
Solana staking ETF has passed, but the market response is tepid, indicating a change in capital preferences: more pragmatic and more cautious. In the future, projects that can withstand cycles will inevitably have actual returns (such as staking, real yields) or technological breakthroughs (such as increased Layer2 adoption, modular blockchain). For example, Ethereum's Dencun upgrade has driven down L2 transaction fees by 80%-90%; such fundamental improvements are the basis for long-term positioning, away from pure narrative hype.
SOL-3.24%
ETH-5.02%
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Altcoin winter: Surviving is more important than making money
OP broke below $0.30 (close to historical lows), ARB is struggling around $0.20, and the ORDIs and ALLOs I heavily invested in are deeply trapped, a lesson learned painfully. Older projects lack the momentum to pump, while new coins peak right after launch, with market liquidity rapidly concentrating towards BTC and a few leading ecosystems. The rebound of weak alts is like a "bear market trap"; don't blindly add to your positions. Refer to my previous actions: decisively sold all OP and ARB, and switched to BTC, at least preser
OP-8.26%
ARB-6.75%
ORDI-5.72%
RWA-4.74%
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Bitcoin and Ethereum: Short-term rebounds cannot hide the trend game
Bitcoin returns to $86,000, Ethereum challenges the $2,800 resistance, seemingly strong rebound, but macro risks are still fermenting. The cooling of the Fed's rate cut expectations and the withdrawal of institutional funds make every rise a focal point of long and short battles. My advice: a rebound is an opportunity to optimize positions, not a signal to chase prices. If BTC effectively breaks below the $80,000 support, the next target may point to $45,000, be sure to keep cash on hand, waiting for a deeper pullback to
BTC-2.44%
ETH-5.02%
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19. Always respect the market
No matter how much money you make, the market can take it back at any time. Stay humble and treat every trade with caution.
20. To be alive is to win.
After experiencing three bull and bear markets, I found that the ultimate winners are not the smartest, but those who survive the longest. Staying in the game is more important than anything else.
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#美联储会议纪要将公布 Family and life are the most important, do not be sad or discouraged, life is a process of swing trading forward.
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#逆势上涨币种推荐
17. Keep it simple and pure
My strategy is very simple now: start BTC/DCA when the time + price is right, swing high-quality altcoins, and hold meme coins for entertainment. Complex methods are more likely to make mistakes.
18. Accepting Imperfection
Sold BNB at a loss and got stuck with gt; these are all part of trading. Accepting imperfection is key to maintaining a balanced mindset.
BTC-2.44%
BNB-2.84%
GT-2.84%
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#行情 #广场发币瓜分千U奖池
15. Rest is part of trading
Having traded continuously for three months, the profit was not even as good as a precise operation after resting for a month. Now I understand that staying on the sidelines and waiting is also a strategy. When the target price has not yet been reached, one should take a break.
16. Only earn the money within your understanding
I missed the tenfold market of a certain meme coin, but I don't regret it. Money that exceeds my understanding was never meant for me.
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#比特币行情观察
13. Stop loss should be as natural as breathing.
I now treat stop-loss as a trading cost, just like paying rent when opening a store. Accepting necessary losses is essential to seize real opportunities.
14. Contentment is the greatest wisdom.
Gradually set sell orders on OP and ARB, exit when there's profit. Although I missed the subsequent rise, I am already very satisfied. I don't aim to sell at the highest point.
BTC-2.44%
OP-8.26%
ARB-6.75%
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#熊市
11. Surviving is the ultimate goal
Every time there is a major drop, my goal is not to make money, but to ensure that I don't get washed out. As long as I am still at the table, there is always a chance.
12. Recording is the best review.
I started writing a trading journal in 2021, documenting the emotions and decision-making process for each trade. These records help me identify recurring mistakes and avoid making the same errors.
If you're interested, you can check out my journey records.
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#加密市场观察
9. Patience is more important than skill.
CHEEMS took two years to reach a hundred times. During this period, there were countless times I wanted to sell, but ultimately I held on. Good projects need time to ferment, give them enough space to grow.
10. Independent judgment is a talisman.
I once heavily invested in a coin because a big influencer recommended it, and ended up losing 80%. Now I only trust my own research; others' advice is just for reference.
CHEEMS-3.1%
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#比特币行情观察
7. Emotions are the greatest enemy
In the previous round, I chased high due to FOMO and then cut losses in panic. Now, before placing any order, I must write down three rational reasons. If I can't find them, I will give up on even the best opportunities.
8. A stop-loss order is a safety rope.
GT nearly got liquidated at $0.25 due to not having a stop-loss order. Now, after each purchase, I immediately set a stop-loss order, leaving the decision to the system instead of emotions.
BTC-2.44%
GT-2.84%
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