Breaking News: On December 13, it was reported that although the Federal Reserve cut interest rates as scheduled this week and released dovish signals beyond expectations, the real-world challenges faced by the artificial intelligence sector have led to a complex divergence in the US stock and bond markets. The upcoming reports from the U.S. Department of Labor on non-farm payrolls, consumer inflation, and retail sales, scheduled for next week, may offer deeper insights into the economic health. Here are the key focus points for the new week:
- Monday 21:30: US December New York Fed Manufactur

Liquidation Alert
In the past 1 hour, the total liquidations across the entire network reached $13,149,500, with long positions liquidated at $9,631,100 and short positions at $3,518,400. Among them, BTC liquidated at $3,140,800 and ETH at $3,585,100.

In the past 1 hour, total liquidations across the network reached $48.49 million, with long positions liquidated for $28.86 million and short positions for $19.63 million. Among them, BTC liquidations amounted to $23.75 million and ETH liquidations to $8.15 million.

Odaily News Polymarket data shows that "the probability of predicting a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in December has risen to 88%", while the probability of maintaining the interest rate has fallen to 12%. The trading volume for this predicted event has reached $191.9 million. #十二月降息预测

Fire News Finance news, on November 30, according to Wall Street Watch, analysts from Goldman Sachs' Fixed Income, Forex, and Commodities (FICC) division believe that a rate cut by the Fed at the upcoming December meeting has become virtually a foregone conclusion. Analysts point out that given the weak trends in the labor market and the demand for risk management, a rate cut at this time is the correct policy choice, and market pricing has fully reflected this expectation. Goldman Sachs analysts noted that, given the sparse data calendar before this meeting and the high level of market co

Forecast: Tonight's battle over the unemployment rate and US Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) will become a key catalyst for what follows.
CoinVoice has recently learned that the US Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) data for September, originally scheduled for release on October 3, has been delayed to tonight due to the US government shutdown. Before the shutdown, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics had already completed the collection and statistical work for the data, so it will not cause systemic biases in the data itself, and the impact on data quality is limited. During the previous October interest rate

US Representative to Introduce Legislation: Prohibit the President, Their Family, Members of Congress, and All Elected Officials from Trading Cryptocurrency or Stocks
Odaily Daily Planet News reported that US Congressman Ro Khanna will propose legislation to ban the President, their family, members of Congress, and all elected officials from trading cryptocurrencies or stocks.

"Since October 11, the 100% win rate whale" has added another 100 BTC long orders, bringing the total position to over $162 million. According to Odaily Planet Daily, crypto analyst Ai Aunt (@ai 9684xtpa) monitored that the "Since October 11, the 100% win rate whale" has increased its position by 100 BTC today, pushing its total holdings to more than $162 million. The current holdings include:
- BTC long orders: 280.3 BTC, valued at approximately $31.17 million, with an entry price of $110,971.3;
- ETH long orders: 33,270.78 ETH, valued at about $132 million, with an entry price of $3,897.

Odaily Daily Planet reports on virtual currency fraud case: 8-member gang induced investors into full leverage trading and were sentenced
According to the Shanghai Yangpu District Procuratorate, they disclosed a virtual currency fraud case. The case shows that an 8-person scam gang colluded with a virtual currency earn platform, posting low-price swap information on social media to attract victims, and impersonated "cryptocurrency trading experts" by sending forged profit screenshots to gain trust. The gang induced victims to perform full leverage trades on designated platforms, and manipulate

The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in October is 97.3%. According to CME "Federal Reserve Watch": the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in October is 97.3%, with a 2.7% chance of holding rates steady. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting a total of 50 basis points in December is 95.5%, while the probability of a total cut of 75 basis points drops to 0%.#十月降息预测

Stock Market Close: All Three Major Indices Fall
Breaking News Finance, October 23 — U.S. stocks closed lower on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average initially falling 0.7%, the S&P 500 Index down 0.5%, and the Nasdaq dropping 0.93%. Apple (AAPL.O) fell over 1%, AMD (AMD.O) declined 3.2%, and Google A (GOOGL.O) rose 0.4%. Crypto concept stocks also generally fell, with MicroStrategy (MSTR) dropping nearly 7%, Coinbase (COIN) down 5.4%, and CRCL down 3.9%. (

Economists Survey: The Federal Reserve's Rate Cut Next Week Has Become a Consensus, Divergence on Rate Path Next Year
Odaily Daily Planet Report: A survey of economists by Reuters shows that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week and will cut again in December; however, there is still significant disagreement among economists regarding the interest rate level at the end of next year. Out of 117 respondents, all but 2 predict that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points again on October 29, bringing the rate to the 3.75%-4.00% range. An a

Multiple whales increase long positions on BTC at Hyperliquid
Odaily Daily Planet reported that, according to Lookonchain monitoring, several whales have recently shifted to a bullish stance and increased their BTC long positions on Hyperliquid. Address 0x89AB deposited $9.6 million USDC in the past 12 hours, bought 80.47 BTC (approximately $8.7 million), and opened a long position of 133.86 BTC (worth about $14.47 million) with 6x leverage; another address, Ox3fce, deposited $1.5 million USDC 6 hours ago, increasing its BTC long position to 459.82 BTC.

In the past hour, over $186 million has been liquidated across the entire network, mainly short orders.
Odaily Daily Planet reports that Coinglass data shows that in the past hour, $186 million has been liquidated globally, including $163 million from short orders and $23.58 million from long orders.

Get Liquidated Reminder
In the last hour, the total liquidation across the network reached 33.4011 million USD, with long positions liquidated at 29.5775 million USD and short positions liquidated at 3.8236 million USD. Among them, BTC liquidation was 4.2001 million, and ETH liquidation was 13.2681 million.

Analysis: Bitcoin has entered a new accumulation phase influenced by factors such as the Fed's loosening expectations.
Odaily Planet Daily News Recently, after experiencing continuous selling pressure that led to a depressed price, the price of Bitcoin has rebounded as global risk sentiment improves, with signs indicating that the Fed may relax monetary policy later this year. Corporate entities continue to accumulate Bitcoin, with data from BitcoinTreasuries showing a 8.4% increase in holdings over the past 30 days, reaching 4.04 million BTC. Analyst Linh Tran stated that Bitcoin is in a

The probability of the Fed lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in October is 99%.
According to Huoxun Finance, news on October 20, based on CME "Fed Watch": The probability of the Fed lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in October is 99%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 1%. The probability of the Fed cumulatively lowering interest rates by 50 basis points in December is 94%, and the probability of a cumulative cut of 75 basis points is 6%. #十月降息预测

Analysis: ETH may continue its rebound momentum and reach 4500 USD before the end of October.
According to Huoxun Finance, on October 19, Cointelegraph reported that some market indicators suggest that Ethereum may continue its rebound momentum and could reach $4,500 before the end of October. Currently, ETH seems to be forming a "bullish flag pattern", which typically indicates that after a brief consolidation, the upward trend will continue. Moreover, the recent ETH price has generally remained above the "Weekly Bull Market Support Band (", implying a potential breakout of the upper channel

The encryption panic index is currently reported at 23, which is in the extreme panic range.
Odaily Planet Daily News According to Alternative data, today the cryptocurrency fear and greed index is temporarily reported at 23 (yesterday it was 22), market sentiment remains in extreme fear. Note: The fear index threshold is 0-100, including indicators: volatility (25%) + market trading volume (25%) + social media heat (15%) + market survey (15%) + Bitcoin's share in the entire market (10%) + Google Trends analysis (10%).#加密市场观察