#我的周末交易计划 Multi-cycle trend forecast: Bottoming out or running away? Clear answers by cycle! Different holding periods require completely different operational logic. Never blindly bottom fish or cut losses; precise response is the key!

1. Short-term (1-7 days): resolutely observe, refuse to bottom fish!
Bitcoin: Slight support around $81,000, stabilizing may rebound to $83,000-$84,000, break below then test the $80,000 level.
Ethereum: $2,636 is short-term support, stabilizing can test $2,750-$2,780, break below then head towards $2,600. Core advice: Bottom fishing now is like taking a flying knife! Short-term volatility is too high for ordinary people to withstand, observing is the best strategy.
2. Short-term (1-2 weeks): range fluctuation, beware of breakout risks
Bitcoin range: $78,000-$85,000, key resistance at $85,000, support at $78,000.
Ethereum range: $2,600-$2,850, key resistance at $2,850, support at $2,600.
Core advice: Before the Federal Reserve policy expectations ease, likely maintain range-bound movement. Once support is broken, cut losses decisively and exit, don’t hold onto illusions.
3. Mid-term (1-3 months): buy on dips in batches, avoid full positions
If the March Federal Reserve meeting signals easing, macro sentiment improves, Bitcoin may rebound to $90,000-$95,000, Ethereum can rebound to $3,000-$3,200; if policies continue to tighten, Bitcoin may dip to $75,000, Ethereum to $2,500.
Core advice: Build positions in batches near support levels, avoid full positions at once, strictly control risks.
4. Long-term (6-12 months): stick to core logic, wait for a bull market
Bitcoin: Halving cycle is the core driving force. Historical patterns show that a main rally often occurs one year after halving. Coupled with long-term institutional allocation needs and macro stability, it may surge to $120,000-$150,000.
Ethereum: Ecosystem upgrades and institutional demand are long-term factors. If macro environment improves, it may hit the $4,000-$4,500 range.
Core advice: Ignore short-term fluctuations, hold around core logic, don’t be swayed by short-term rises and falls.