⚠️ BTC Update: Watching For a Mid-Timeframe Bottom, But Not There Yet

Price is finally tapping into the higher-timeframe demand zone, and something interesting is happening under the hood: each new dump is coming in on less volume.

That normally hints at two things:
- Sellers are losing strength
- Liquidity is being absorbed rather than aggressively chased

But that alone doesn’t make a bottom. It just tells you that downside momentum is fading, not that buyers are stepping in with intent.

📊 Volume Behaviour
If you look back at the major legs lower: Every leg after that shows decreasing sell volume.

This is classic “seller exhaustion”, but for a real reversal you still need buyers to take over.

Until then, price can grind lower without momentum.

📉 Structure Still Bearish
This is the part most traders skip, and it’s exactly why they knife-catch:
- HTF structure still bearish
- Bullish breaks fail quickly
- No 4h or daily BOS upward
- No displacement to signal aggressive buyers
- No reclaim of a key level
- EMA stacks still in bearish order

Until structure shifts, all we have is slowing downside, not a reversal.

📍 What I Want to See Before Calling a Bottom
For a high-probability bottom and a clean long setup, I want:

- A mid-timeframe (ideally 4h or higher) aggressive break of structure.
- A demand creation + successful retest
- Volume expansion on the impulse up
- Reclaim of a meaningful level
- No weak, low-volume grind up

When these five line up, that’s the market telling you a real shift is underway, not just absorption.

🎯 My Bias
Cautious. Not bullish, not blindly bearish. Waiting for confirmation.

The bottom could be close, but there’s no high-timeframe evidence yet , and I’d rather be late and right than early and underwater.

A 4h+ BOS with displacement will be the first true sign that the tide is turning.

Until then, patience is a position