Monetary Policy

CFTC permits Bitcoin, Ethereum, and stablecoins as margin collateral with strict valuation haircuts and risk controls applied. Stablecoins receive lower capital charges than BTC and ETH, reflecting reduced volatility in margin calculations. Firms must meet reporting, cybersecurity, and ap

U.S. regulators established a framework to classify digital assets into five groups, enhancing jurisdiction clarity. This includes commodities overseen by the CFTC and securities by the SEC, with special treatment for stablecoins and utility tokens based on usage.

Fidelity says U.S. market infrastructure can support crypto trading under existing laws without building new systems. Firm backs SEC Crypto Task Force efforts, stressing collaboration to address technical and regulatory challenges. Integration into regulated systems could expand access

On March 22, following Trump's ultimatum to Iran, Bitcoin fell below $69,200, declining 2.2% over 24 hours. Market sentiment impacted mainstream crypto assets broadly, with declines across the board despite the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged. War risk has made traders cautious. If Iran fails to restore Strait of Hormuz passage, the conflict could escalate, impacting global energy transportation.

US Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Paul Atkins proposed a new cryptocurrency asset regulatory framework that clarifies which tokens are not securities and simplifies compliance pathways through measures such as "startup exemptions" and "investment contract safe harbors," aimed at providing crypto enterprises with clearer fundraising guidance and signaling a policy shift in SEC oversight.

Bitcoin recently touched $75,000 but failed to sustain the level, pulling back to $74,000, reflecting cautious sentiment among investors ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Geopolitical risks and elevated energy prices have driven inflation higher, affecting market expectations for rate cuts and pushing the timeline for cuts to year-end. Technical analysis shows Bitcoin remains strong but has not confirmed a decisive breakout above the $75,000 level, with limited upside potential in the near term.

US Bitcoin spot ETFs have turned to outflows following seven consecutive trading days of net inflows, indicating a shift toward more conservative capital allocation. Bitcoin price briefly fell below $70,000, reflecting weakened market sentiment and capital flows. ETF outflows stem from market reassessment of the macro environment, as investors reduce risk appetite amid elevated interest rate expectations and geopolitical risks. $70,000 has become a near-term technical dividing line between bulls and bears, with technical indicators suggesting market confidence still needs to be restored.

Gate News reported that on March 22, Pan Gongsheng, Governor of the People's Bank of China, stated at the China Development Forum 2026 Annual Conference that the central bank will continue to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, comprehensively utilizing various monetary policy tools such as the reserve requirement ratio, policy interest rates, and open market operations to maintain ample liquidity. (China News Service)

Xinda Futures research indicates that gold price movements are influenced by rising energy prices and interest rate expectations. The Middle East conflict has kept crude oil at elevated levels, intensifying inflation concerns in the market and suppressing gold prices. The market expects the Federal Reserve to maintain interest rates unchanged, but Powell's assessment will impact subsequent policy decisions.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) recently released an FAQ clarifying the rules for using cryptocurrencies as margin in derivatives markets, specifically setting capital deduction rates of 20% for Bitcoin and Ethereum and 2% for stablecoins. The pilot program will be limited to three coin types in the first three months, after which it will expand to additional cryptocurrencies and relax reporting requirements. Qualifying crypto assets may be used as margin, marking a gradual acceptance of blockchain assets within the U.S. financial system.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has released guidance on a pilot program for crypto assets as collateral, allowing Bitcoin, Ethereum, and stablecoins to be used as margin. Futures brokers must comply with capital requirements and regulatory reporting obligations, and after three months can expand to other crypto assets as collateral. The guidance clarifies the use cases for crypto assets and derivatives clearing requirements.

Citigroup has lowered its target prices for Bitcoin and Ethereum, indicating a cautious outlook on the medium-term prospects of the crypto market. The Bitcoin target price has been reduced from $143,000 to $112,000, while Ethereum's has been lowered from $4,304 to $3,175, mainly due to slow progress in U.S. cryptocurrency legislation. Although there is still room for upward movement over the next year, the market may remain volatile in the short term, with Ethereum's valuation becoming more reliant on fundamentals.

Gate News: According to CME "FedWatch" data on March 21, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates by 25 basis points in April is 6.2%, while the probability of maintaining current rates is 93.8%.

Lawmakers and regulators are making progress on crypto policy, with a stablecoin yield proposal anticipated soon. The SEC and CFTC classified most crypto assets as non-securities, designating several as digital commodities.

CFTC permits Bitcoin, Ethereum, and stablecoins as margin collateral with strict valuation haircuts and risk controls applied. Stablecoins receive lower capital charges than BTC and ETH, reflecting reduced volatility in margin calculations. Firms must meet reporting, cybersecurity, and

HSBC指出，美联储在3月会议上将政策利率维持在3.50%-3.75%不变，未来将采取观望态度。随着通胀和地缘政治风险的增加，预计美联储将在2026年和2027年持续保持利率不变。能源价格的波动和地缘政治因素将增加避险需求，推动美元走强。

As the Iran conflict enters its fourth week, markets are focusing on energy price trends and upcoming macroeconomic data releases from the US and Europe, including US construction spending and CPI, to assess their impact on consumer prices and the overall economy.

Escalating tensions in the Middle East and the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance have impacted global financial markets. Gold plummeted more than 10% this week, marking its worst performance since 1983, while oil prices surged to historic highs. In contrast, Bitcoin rose against the trend, indicating a flow of capital toward crypto assets. The market continues to face uncertainty, and volatility in risk assets may persist.

Bitcoin recently touched $75,000 but failed to sustain the level, pulling back to $74,000, reflecting cautious sentiment among investors ahead of the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Geopolitical risks and elevated energy prices have driven inflation higher, affecting market expectations for rate cuts and pushing the timeline for cuts to year-end. Technical analysis shows Bitcoin remains strong but has not confirmed a decisive breakout above the $75,000 level, with limited upside potential in the near term.

The macro risk of Bitcoin is rooted in the nearly depleted liquidity buffer within the financial system rather than oil price fluctuations. With the Fed's reverse repo mechanism losing effectiveness, Bitcoin's reliance on macro liquidity increases, raising concerns about potential market shocks and their impact.