Entering 2026, the price performance of Dogecoin (DOGE) has shown a clear rebound, with a nearly 20% increase over the past week, once again becoming a focal point in the crypto market. As market sentiment improves, on-chain data also begins to release bullish signals, with some analysts believing that DOGE is in an important medium- to long-term buy zone.
Joao Wedson, founder of the crypto data analysis platform Alphractal, pointed out that based on the on-chain indicator CVDD (Cumulative Value Dissipation Days), the price of Dogecoin has reached a critical area that has historically seen strong buying activity. The CVDD indicator measures the economic weight and long-term value of tokens on the chain and is often used to identify deeply undervalued market zones. Historically, whenever DOGE approaches this zone, it tends to experience significant rebounds.
Wedson’s model indicates that if historical patterns repeat, DOGE could potentially break through $0.80 in the coming weeks. At the current price, this suggests DOGE has several times the upward elasticity, making it relatively strong within the meme coin sector.
From a technical perspective, Dogecoin has established a clear support around $0.12, then successfully broke through $0.14, ending its previous downtrend. This breakout is seen as an important signal of a phase trend reversal. If bullish momentum continues, DOGE’s next resistance levels will be at $0.20 and then in the $0.28 range.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) also confirms the trend change. RSI has broken through key moving averages and risen above the midline, indicating increasing active buying pressure. In the short-term charts, DOGE is trading above $0.150 and the 100-hour moving average, with the upward trendline providing ongoing support.
Overall, whether it is the CVDD on-chain indicator or technical structures like RSI and Fibonacci retracement, all suggest that Dogecoin is at a critical decision point. Against the backdrop of meme coin capital inflows, DOGE’s future trajectory remains worth close attention from medium- and short-term traders as well as long-term holders, especially in the $0.15 and $0.14 zones.
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