Today is December 25th, BTC price 87,785 (Merry Christmas)
A lot has happened in 2025—global debt crises, internal social conflicts, escalating geopolitical tensions, intensified great power rivalries, and the silicon-based technological revolution. Any of these outbreaks could change the world order. If you had recognized these macro factors earlier, would you have chosen to invest in gold, stocks, or cryptocurrencies? Ask yourself.
If these factors further erupt next year, how will you choose? You need to think carefully because it’s highly likely they will escalate. Let’s analyze:
First, stocks: The high risk of global debt requires debt reduction; as currency devalues, repayment pressure decreases; geopolitical conflicts demand military spending, especially in Europe; the US stock market’s market cap approaches 700 trillion; AI continues to burn money; more funds are needed for growth; domestic economy faces deflation; the goal is to become a financial powerhouse; the certainty is that stocks are optimistic.
Next, gold and other precious metals; hard assets; the logic for rising prices includes currency devaluation, escalating geopolitical conflicts, and declining credit ratings of countries, increasing bond risks.
Focusing on BTC: Under the premise of a large-scale liquidity injection in 2026 (high probability), its advantages are scarcity, convenience, and potential returns; disadvantages include high volatility of risk assets, the short existence of the asset, and the need for value verification. When will it surge? 1. Divestment from tech stocks to return to safe assets, 2. Large outflows of macro funds, 3. Deeply deflated prices, 4. Actual macroeconomic value empowerment; for BTC to become a safe-haven asset, its market cap must be large enough—big enough to stabilize and divest from risky assets. If not achieved, it remains a disadvantaged asset in this century-long upheaval. So where are the opportunities? In the mid-stage of the big upheaval, when advantageous assets are already high, the market continues to flood with money, devaluing currencies, and BTC prices are low enough to attract speculative and lagging funds entering the market. Coupled with BTC’s advantageous properties and Trump’s empowerment, it can easily reverse the situation.
Conclusion: BTC is expected to reverse the trends of 2026 and 2027. In the mid-term market phase, when advantageous assets are in a heated state, it is recommended to start dollar-cost averaging into BTC and ETH; asset allocation ratio: gold, stocks, BTC at 2, 3, 2#加密市场小幅回暖 $BTC