12 月 ETH 价格预测 · 发帖挑战 📈
12 月降息预期升温,ETH 热点回暖,借此窗口期发起行情预测互动!
欢迎 Gate 社区用户 —— 判趋势 · 猜行情 · 赢奖励 💰
奖励 🎁:预测命中的用户中抽取 5 位,每位 10 USDT
时间 📅:预测截止 12 月 11 日 12:00(UTC+8)
参与方式 ✍️:
在 Gate 广场发布 ETH 行情预测帖,写明价格区间(如 $3,200–$3,400,区间需<$200),并添加话题 #ETH12月行情预测
发帖示例 👇
示例①:
#ETH12月行情预测
预测区间:$3,150-$3,250
行情偏震荡上行,若降息如期落地 + ETF 情绪配合,冲击前高可期 🚀
示例②:
#ETH12月行情预测
预测区间:$3,300-$3,480
资金回流 + L2 降费利好中期趋势,向上试探 $3,400 的概率更高 📊
评选规则 📍
以 12 月 11 日 12:00(UTC+8)ETH 实时价格为参考
价格落入预测区间 → 视为命中
若命中人数>5 → 从命中者中随机抽取 5 位 🏆
SEC’s Ethereum Futures ETF Approval: A Resounding Victory For ETH’s Security Status?
According to Bloomberg, in a key development for the cryptocurrency industry, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is reportedly set to allow the launch of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) based on Ethereum (ETH) futures.
This move marks a significant win for numerous firms that have long sought to introduce such products. While the SEC has previously hesitated to approve ETFs directly tied to cryptocurrencies, the decision to greenlight an Ethereum futures ETF could have profound implications for Ethereum’s classification as a non-security
This development also holds potential ramifications for other cryptocurrencies, as the SEC’s stance on where the line between security and non-security lies becomes a subject of litigation.
Ethereum Paradigm Shift
According to Bloomberg’s report, sources familiar with the matter claim the SEC is unlikely to block the ETFs based on futures contracts for Ethereum, which is currently the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization
Nearly a dozen companies, including prominent names like Volatility Shares, Bitwise, Roundhill, and ProShares, have filed applications to launch these ETFs. While it remains unclear which funds will receive approval, insiders suggest that several may be granted the green light as early as October.
This anticipated approval of an Ethereum futures ETF by the SEC could have far-reaching implications for the regulatory treatment of cryptocurrencies
The SEC’s reluctance to approve ETFs directly tied to cryptocurrencies has spurred speculation that derivative-based products would offer a potential pathway to market access
On this matter, crypto analyst Adam Cochran has highlighted that the SEC potentially approving an ETF based on Ethereum futures contracts implicitly acknowledges that Ethereum itself is not considered a security
This decision challenges the notion that Ethereum should be regulated as a traditional financial security, considering its proof-of-stake mechanism, purpose, and usage.
Cochran further believes that the SEC’s approval of an Ethereum futures ETF bolsters Ethereum’s non-security status and sets a precedent that could impact other cryptocurrencies facing regulatory scrutiny
The ongoing legal battle between the SEC and Grayscale Investments over rejecting their Bitcoin trust’s conversion into an ETF highlights the agency’s concerns regarding investor protection, manipulation risks, and price volatility
However, this approval could provide a compelling argument in favor of distinguishing between the underlying asset and how it is sold, bolstering the Torres Doctrine and potentially influencing the outcome of similar cases, such as the XRP appeal.
The SEC’s approval of an Ethereum futures ETF holds tremendous significance for the cryptocurrency industry. If confirmed, it would mark a pivotal moment for Ethereum’s classification as a non-security, further solidifying its position as a commodity or currency
The decision also highlights the regulatory challenge of defining clear boundaries between securities and non-securities in crypto
As the industry evolves, approving an Ethereum futures ETF could shape the regulatory landscape, paving the way for increased adoption and investment opportunities in the cryptocurrency market.
Over the past 24 hours, ETH has declined more than 4% after breaking its previously established range between $1,895 and $1,830. Additionally, it has suffered a notable loss of 10% within the seven-day timeframe.
Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView.com