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Why are the markets rising? Because everyone is betting on "nothing else going wrong"!
This rebound, essentially, is not due to good news, but because—
Bad news hasn't continued to worsen.
This is called in the market:
"Expectation correction."
When the worst-case scenario doesn't happen, prices go up.
Will the other side make concessions?
More precisely, they won't "completely concede," but may "partially cooperate."
This kind of ambiguous space is exactly what the market likes most.
Because it can be manipulated.
How far can this rebound go?
It depends on two variables:
✔ Negotiation pace
✔ Unexpected events
As long as there are no new conflicts or escalations, the rebound can continue;
Once an accident occurs, sentiment will quickly reverse.
In terms of allocation:
✔ Cryptocurrencies: Short-term bullish, suitable for swing trading
✔ Crude oil: Strong trend, but high risk
✔ Gold: Defensive asset, don’t sell all
One sentence summary:
This wave of gains is not because of certainty, but because things are "not as bad." #加密市场回升