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The probability of no rate cut is already set in stone.
At the same time, BTC's trend is becoming more convergent, with very clear support and resistance levels at the top and bottom. Currently, we just need to wait for the trigger point in time, and the price will choose a direction again.
I still lean more towards the probability of a downward move.
There are no significant macro expectations, and technically it has been in a downward channel, with death crosses on the indicators...