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How did the markets start the week? My expectations: 📉🔥
Markets started the week with tension in the Middle East and (Iran conflict + retaliations) sharply. Oil surged, stocks sold off, safe havens mixed.👇
1. OIL (Brent)
Price ≈ 115-116 USD/barrel (+%24-26)
Technical: Strong Buy signals (moving averages and indicators).
Fundamental: Supply panic due to fears of disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. If the war prolongs, 120-130 USD is discussed; if OPEC+ does not intervene, upside risk is high!
2. GOLD
Price ≈ 5,090-5,100 USD/ounce (-%1)
Technical: Strong Sell signals.
Fundamental: Dollar strength is suppressing prices, but geopolitical risks + China’s gold purchases support it. Long-term inflation and war premiums are positive.
3. SILVER
Price ≈ 82-84 USD/ounce (-1-2%)
Technical: Neutral (mixed signals).
Fundamental: Moves parallel to gold + industrial demand (solar panels, electronics). Dollar and oil fluctuations dominate, support may come in the short term.
4. CRYPTOCURRENCIES (Led by Bitcoin)
Bitcoin ≈ 67,000-67,500 USD (+0.5-1%)
Technical: Overall Buy signals (indicators mixed but positive).
Fundamental: Risk appetite is low, dropped below 70k but institutional entries (ETFs) continue. If the war ends, quick recovery; if it prolongs, 60k could be tested.
5. US STOCK MARKETS (Futures – Pre-market)
Dow futures ≈ -%2
S&P 500 futures ≈ -%2
Nasdaq futures ≈ -%2.3
Technical: Clear selling pressure, downside breakout signal.
Fundamental: Oil rally + geopolitical fears hit Asia too. A 2% loss is expected at open, risk-off mode dominates.
6. ISTANBUL STOCK EXCHANGE (BIST 100)
Index (Friday close) ≈ 12,793 (-2.2%) – Starting the week at this level.
Technical: Strong Sell signal (50-day moving average broken).
Fundamental: We are importers of oil, TL and banks are affected. Geopolitical risk + Central Bank decisions are critical. Support at 12,700-12,800 range.
Summary:
Oil surged, stocks and tech sold off, gold/silver under pressure but crypto resilient. Everything depends on the duration of geopolitical risk.
INVESTMENT WARNING NOT! Use stop-loss, do your own research.
Do you think oil will reach 120? I’m waiting for your comments! 🚀📉
#Borsa #Oil #Altın #Crypto #BIST100 #GeopoliticalRisk #IranWar