Iran is indeed crazier this time than expected. After reviewing the opinions of global analysts and observing the crypto market trends, it’s clear that while everyone is panicking, the logic is actually quite straightforward: this market may not necessarily crash, but the sectors will definitely undergo a major reshuffle.

First, the logic of avoiding pitfalls and risk hedging suggests that chasing high oil stocks at this moment isn't very wise. Instead, sectors related to travel such as airlines, tourism, and hotels are likely to be the first victims. If you have positions, it’s best to reduce them first.
Technology stocks don’t need to be moved immediately; you can wait and see. Correspondingly, the “tech stocks” in the crypto world, which include mainstream coins and various altcoins, might also need to let the bullets fly for a while—don’t rush to buy the dip.
Emerging markets might take a heavy hit this time, as most are oil-importing countries. When oil prices rise, costs become unmanageable. Plus, with a good run this year, capital can easily take profits and run. There are even conspiracy theories suggesting that this situation could scare Middle Eastern funds back to the US, thereby pushing up US stocks, making emerging markets the riskiest.
This logic applies to the crypto world as well. When risk aversion kicks in, funds will definitely withdraw from high-risk altcoins and flow back into safer assets or simply cash out.
As for what to buy, precious metals and defense military industries are definitely the front runners. Defensive sectors like real estate and utilities might also serve as hedges. If you hold stocks like discretionary consumer goods or retail, they might suffer significant declines. This is similar to sector rotation in the crypto market—when bad news hits, funds tend to flow into more defensive assets.
In the crypto world, this is when Bitcoin’s role as digital gold becomes evident. Although some question its current correlation with US stocks, during turbulent times, it remains a hard currency against fiat devaluation. $BTC currently priced $66850
but ultimately, everything depends on oil prices. If oil prices spike and then fall back, both the stock market and crypto can rebound. If prices stay high or even trigger inflation, the Federal Reserve will have to pause rate cuts, which is a big negative for risk assets.
The key now is the Strait of Hormuz. If Iran continues to cause trouble, Trump is unlikely to sit idly by. Until then, it’s best to watch more and act less—control your hands and avoid rushing into bottom-fishing, as that’s the best strategy to preserve capital.