👉 Key signals: • Still above zero line → mid-term trend is not dead • Green bars are shrinking → bullish momentum weakening
This looks more like:
Deceleration after an increase, not acceleration start
⸻
RSI • RSI6: 45.77 • RSI12/24: ~54
👉 Explanation: • Short-term is neutral to weak • No oversold → no panic selling • No overbought → insufficient upward momentum
➡ Currently in a weak oscillation zone
⸻
② Position / Capital Structure
Open interest (OI)
The chart shows:
👉 Previous rise → recent pullback
This usually indicates:
✔ Capital withdrawal ✔ Partial long liquidation ✔ Or passive deleveraging
In a strong trend, OI usually expands in tandem.
⸻
Position difference • Recently negative
👉 Indicates:
Net position reduction
Not a trend of continuous capital inflow.
⸻
③ Active Buying and Selling Volume
These charts have a key point:
👉 Active sell volume is relatively large
➡ Indicates:
✔ Market is realizing profits / unloading ✔ Bulls are not clearly controlling the market
⸻
④ CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta)
CVD is downward:
👉 Even if price is sideways / slightly up, funds are leaning towards selling.
This kind of structure often leads to:
Fake sideways movement → sudden drop
⸻
⑤ Big Player Data (Very Important)
Big account long-short ratio: 0.2870
👉 Less than 1 and very low:
✔ Big players are leaning bearish
⸻
Big account position long-short ratio: 0.6640
👉 Still less than 1:
✔ Overall big player positions are bearish
⸻
👉 The meaning of this combination is straightforward:
Smart money is not on the bullish side
⸻
⑥ Funding Rate • Funding rate is positive (~0.15%)
👉 Meaning:
✔ Bulls pay to bears ✔ Market is slightly crowded with longs
When: • Funding rate is positive • Big players are bearish
➡ It’s easy to form:
“Bullish fuel for a downtrend” (selling pressure on longs)
⸻
Overall Judgment
The current structure is closer to:
✅ Fatigue / divergence after an upward move ❌ Not in the initiation phase ❌ Not in the trend acceleration phase
Market features:
✔ Weakening momentum ✔ Deleveraging ✔ Active selling pressure ✔ Big players leaning bearish ✔ Funding rate is positive
⸻
Which type of market does it resemble more?
Probability leans toward:
① Sideways downward / bearish correction structure
Performance: • Choppy sideways • Occasional upward flicker • Then gradually slide down
⸻
② Fake rebound → further decline
If a rebound occurs:
👉 More like a short covering bounce, not a main rally.
⸻
When will it turn strong?
Need to see these changes:
✔ OI significantly expanding again ✔ MACD histogram expanding again ✔ CVD turning positive ✔ Big players’ long-short ratio returning to >1 ✔ RSI6 crossing above 60
Otherwise, it’s just a weak correction.
⸻
One simple summary:
This coin currently feels like:
“No clear trend, bulls are not dominant, capital structure leaning bearish”
More suitable for:
✔ Range-bound trading ✔ Defensive operations ✔ Not blindly chasing the rally
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$PIPPIN From the charts you provided, this is PIPPINUSDT perpetual contract. Let's analyze the parameters directly, no unnecessary words.
⸻
① Technical Indicator Status
KDJ (9,3,3)
• K: 50.58
• D: 65.45
• J: 20.85
👉 Typical features:
• D is at a high level, J is pushed to a low level
• J is clearly diverging downward
This generally indicates short-term momentum weakening / a retracement structure, not a strong upward trend.
⸻
MACD (12,26,9)
• DIF: 0.0707
• DEA: 0.0555
• Shortening histogram
👉 Key signals:
• Still above zero line → mid-term trend is not dead
• Green bars are shrinking → bullish momentum weakening
This looks more like:
Deceleration after an increase, not acceleration start
⸻
RSI
• RSI6: 45.77
• RSI12/24: ~54
👉 Explanation:
• Short-term is neutral to weak
• No oversold → no panic selling
• No overbought → insufficient upward momentum
➡ Currently in a weak oscillation zone
⸻
② Position / Capital Structure
Open interest (OI)
The chart shows:
👉 Previous rise → recent pullback
This usually indicates:
✔ Capital withdrawal
✔ Partial long liquidation
✔ Or passive deleveraging
In a strong trend, OI usually expands in tandem.
⸻
Position difference
• Recently negative
👉 Indicates:
Net position reduction
Not a trend of continuous capital inflow.
⸻
③ Active Buying and Selling Volume
These charts have a key point:
👉 Active sell volume is relatively large
➡ Indicates:
✔ Market is realizing profits / unloading
✔ Bulls are not clearly controlling the market
⸻
④ CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta)
CVD is downward:
👉 Even if price is sideways / slightly up, funds are leaning towards selling.
This kind of structure often leads to:
Fake sideways movement → sudden drop
⸻
⑤ Big Player Data (Very Important)
Big account long-short ratio: 0.2870
👉 Less than 1 and very low:
✔ Big players are leaning bearish
⸻
Big account position long-short ratio: 0.6640
👉 Still less than 1:
✔ Overall big player positions are bearish
⸻
👉 The meaning of this combination is straightforward:
Smart money is not on the bullish side
⸻
⑥ Funding Rate
• Funding rate is positive (~0.15%)
👉 Meaning:
✔ Bulls pay to bears
✔ Market is slightly crowded with longs
When:
• Funding rate is positive
• Big players are bearish
➡ It’s easy to form:
“Bullish fuel for a downtrend” (selling pressure on longs)
⸻
Overall Judgment
The current structure is closer to:
✅ Fatigue / divergence after an upward move
❌ Not in the initiation phase
❌ Not in the trend acceleration phase
Market features:
✔ Weakening momentum
✔ Deleveraging
✔ Active selling pressure
✔ Big players leaning bearish
✔ Funding rate is positive
⸻
Which type of market does it resemble more?
Probability leans toward:
① Sideways downward / bearish correction structure
Performance:
• Choppy sideways
• Occasional upward flicker
• Then gradually slide down
⸻
② Fake rebound → further decline
If a rebound occurs:
👉 More like a short covering bounce, not a main rally.
⸻
When will it turn strong?
Need to see these changes:
✔ OI significantly expanding again
✔ MACD histogram expanding again
✔ CVD turning positive
✔ Big players’ long-short ratio returning to >1
✔ RSI6 crossing above 60
Otherwise, it’s just a weak correction.
⸻
One simple summary:
This coin currently feels like:
“No clear trend, bulls are not dominant, capital structure leaning bearish”
More suitable for:
✔ Range-bound trading
✔ Defensive operations
✔ Not blindly chasing the rally