【$ARB Signal】1H Oversold Rebound Play, Sniping the Lower Support of the 4H Downtrend Channel

$ARB The 1H timeframe has entered an extremely oversold zone (RSI 27.5), with the price testing support near the recent low of 0.1075. The 4H timeframe remains within a clear downtrend channel, but the latest 4H candlestick shows a long lower shadow, indicating buying interest starting to resist downward pressure. Open interest remains stable with no signs of panic selling, which could signal a weakening of the downward momentum.

🎯Direction: Long (Playing the Oversold Rebound)

🎯Entry/Order: 0.1075 - 0.1080 (Reason: 4H channel lower support + recent dense trading zone lows)

🛑Stop Loss: 0.1065 (Reason: Breaking below recent strong support level invalidates the rebound logic)

🚀Target 1: 0.1105 (Reason: 1H EMA20 resistance + previous small platform high)

🚀Target 2: 0.1125 (Reason: 4H EMA20 resistance + initial pressure at the upper boundary of the downtrend channel)

🛡Trade Management:

- Position size suggestion: Light position (Reason: The 4H main trend is still downward; this is a counter-trend rebound with higher risk)

- Execution strategy: After reaching Target 1, move the stop loss up to the entry price of 0.1080. For the remaining position, look toward Target 2. If the price encounters resistance around 0.1105 and the 1H candlestick shows signs of stagnation, consider closing early.

Deep Logic: Market depth data shows sell orders accumulating in the 0.1081-0.1083 range (depth imbalance 8.29%), which is the first hurdle for the rebound. A volume breakout through this zone will quickly attract short covering. The 1H RSI has formed a preliminary bullish divergence; if the price stops making new lows and RSI turns upward, it confirms a rebound signal. Current market logic suggests “price decline, consider position size and volume,” and with open interest stable, it indicates not a main force continuous dumping but rather a short squeeze of leveraged longs, creating conditions for a rebound.

View real-time quotes 👇 $ARB

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