【$ETH Signal】Two-way Order Battle! 1H Oversold Rebound vs 4H Downtrend, Capturing Intraday Fluctuations

$ETH The 1H timeframe is consolidating with extremely low volume between 1950-1975, RSI(1H) is near the oversold level at 34.92, indicating a technical rebound demand. However, the 4H timeframe remains in a clear downtrend channel, with EMA20(2011) acting as strong resistance. The current price is at a critical watershed, with bulls and bears about to clash. Open interest remains stable, negative funding rates suggest bears are slightly favored but there is a short squeeze risk, and order book depth is decent. This is a typical end of consolidation, waiting for a direction to be chosen.

🎯 Direction: Wait and See ( Order )

⚡ Order Strategy:

1. 【Breakout Long Entry】Order: 1978.00 ( Reason: Hold above 1H EMA20(1981) and break through the recent consolidation upper boundary )

2. 【Pullback Entry】Order: 1935.00 ( Reason: Retrace to the 4H previous support zone, playing for a technical rebound )

🛑 Stop Loss:

- Long: 1915.00 ( Reason: Break below previous low at 1933, confirming the continuation of the downtrend )

- Short: 1995.00 ( Reason: Break above 4H EMA20(2011), pre-resistance )

🚀 Target 1:

- Long: 2020.00 ( Reason: 4H EMA20 and Fibonacci 0.382 retracement level resonate as resistance )

- Short: 1900.00 ( Reason: Psychological level and lower boundary of the downtrend channel )

🚀 Target 2:

- Long: 2050.00 ( Reason: Bottom of the previous 4H correction zone )

- Short: 1860.00 ( Reason: Downside target based on ATR measurement )

🛡 Trading Management:

- Position Size: Light ( Reason: Unclear trend, high volatility, only short-term play )

- Execution Strategy: Once any order is triggered, if the price moves quickly in a favorable direction by more than 1x ATR (about 40 points) (, immediately move stop-loss to break-even. After reaching Target 1, reduce position by 50%, and trail stop for the remaining position.

Depth Logic: The current market is in a conflicting state. The 1H chart shows waning downward momentum, with RSI divergence emerging, and recent 1-hour candles show 66% buy volume, indicating short-term bottom-fishing attempts. But the 4H trend remains bearish, with prices suppressed by all major moving averages. The key is the battle in the 1978-1982 zone. A volume breakout would attract short covering and long chasing funds, targeting 2020. If unable to break through and it falls below 1933, downside space opens. Stable open interest indicates neither bulls nor bears have exited, waiting for a new catalyst.

Trade here 👇 )
---

Follow me: Get more real-time analysis and insights on the crypto market! $ETH
$BTC $ETH
‍$SOL #我在Gate广场过新年