【$TON Signal】Long! 1H breakout and pullback confirmation, main force clearly intends to support the market

$TON The 1H timeframe, after experiencing a strong rally, is currently in a healthy pullback confirmation stage. The price is oscillating around 1.4768, just pulling back to above the 1H EMA20 (1.4614), and the 4H level has already stabilized above EMA20 (1.4170), indicating a shift from weak to strong trend. The key point is: as the price rises, open interest (OI) remains stable, and the funding rate is negative (-0.0018%), which weakens the short selling pressure and appears more like a support action after the main force accumulates positions. The order book shows slightly more sell orders than buy orders (depth imbalance -10.03%), but the price has not fallen sharply, implying strong support below. The 1H RSI (63.54) has retreated from overbought territory to a healthy zone, preparing for another upward push.

🎯Direction: Long (Long)

🎯Entry/Order: 1.4750 - 1.4780 (Reason: Pullback to 1H EMA20 support zone and previous hour’s low)

🛑Stop Loss: 1.4680 (Reason: Break below recent 1H consolidation low of 1.4748 and psychological level of 1.4700, also beyond ATR(0.0285) to ensure safety)

🚀Target 1: 1.4950 (Reason: Test previous high of 1.4988 resistance, also a recent 4H high)

🚀Target 2: 1.5100 (Reason: Break above previous high, aiming for the 1.618 Fibonacci extension and higher psychological levels)

🛡Trade Management:

- Position suggestion: Standard position (Reason: 1H and 4H trends resonate, and risk points are clear)

- Execution strategy: When the price reaches 1.4950, reduce position by 50% to lock in profits, and move the remaining stop loss up to the entry price of 1.4780 (break-even). If the price cannot hold above 1.4850 and turns downward, consider closing early.

Depth logic: Market logic suggests “price rising, combine with open interest to determine whether main force is entering or shorts are squeezing.” The current scenario aligns more with main force entering: after the rally, OI remains stable rather than decreasing, indicating it’s not driven by short covering. In a negative funding rate environment, the price remains firm, showing strong bullish control. The buy/sell ratio on the 1H chart has risen to 0.53 in the latest candle, indicating buy orders are regaining dominance. This is a typical short-term bullish structure of “breakout - pullback - re-acceleration.”

Trade here 👇 $TON

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