Quantum Risks with Cryptocurrency Valuation: Analysis from a16z

MetaverseLandlord · 2026-02-10T02:09:46+00:00

Concerns about the impact of quantum computers on cryptocurrencies are considered exaggerated. A16z's report shows that current systems are capable of resisting this threat, and early transition could create new problems. It is better to focus on the current challenges in blockchain.

MetaverseLandlord

2026-02-10 02:09:46

Abstract generation in progress

Concerns about quantum computers potentially destroying cryptocurrencies are exaggerated beyond necessity. According to the latest analysis from a16z Crypto reported by PANews, the likelihood of a quantum computer causing real disruption before 2030 remains very low. This suggests that fears about cryptocurrencies being heavily impacted in the short term are not entirely justified.

Quantum Threat: Reality or Overblown Concern?

The a16z report emphasizes that mainstream digital signature systems and advanced security protocols like zkSNARKs are not easily vulnerable to quantum attacks based on the ‘collect now, decrypt later’ model. In other words, even if a quantum computer is developed, decrypting old encrypted information is not an immediate threat.

In other words, current cryptography has been designed with multiple layers of protection strong enough to withstand most attacks at this stage. Analysts believe that concerns about this are overstated relative to the actual risk.

Why Early Transition Could Create More Problems?

Early migration of blockchain systems to quantum-resistant solutions could lead to unintended consequences. a16z warns that this process might cause:

Performance issues and system latency
Immaturity of the technology leading to potential vulnerabilities
New security weaknesses emerging during the transition

Instead of rushing to implement quantum-resistant solutions, developers should plan based on a reasonable assessment of timing rather than reacting hastily.

Prioritize Current Challenges Over Future Threats

According to a16z, compared to the unformed quantum risks, major public blockchains like Bitcoin and Ethereum are facing much more urgent challenges. These include:

Protocol upgrade complexity
Governance issues
Security vulnerabilities in the execution layer code

a16z suggests that in the near future, resources should be prioritized for traditional security issues such as code bugs, side-channel attacks, and injection flaws. Efforts in auditing, fuzz testing, and formal verification will be far more effective than worrying about quantum threats in the current context.

In summary, balancing long-term planning with addressing current issues is key to the sustainable development of blockchain and cryptocurrencies.

BTC-2,05%

ETH-2,7%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.