The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in March is 82.3%, and the probability of a rate cut is 17.7%.

According to a report from Jin10, CME "Federal Reserve Watch" shows

The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged by March is 82.3%, with a 17.7% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut.

By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 32.4%, the probability of holding rates steady is 63.5%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 4%.

By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 50.4%.

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