February 3, 2026 11:30 (UTC+8), BTC is currently trading at $77,800, rebounding from $74,600 over the past 24 hours, an increase of about 2%, indicating a weak correction after an oversold condition. The dominant trend remains bearish, and the rebound momentum is relatively weak.

📊 Key Levels and Indicator Overview

- Resistance: $79,000-$79,500/$80,000 (strong resistance); Support: $76,800/$75,000/$74,500 (strong support at $74,500).
- Moving Averages: 50/200-day moving averages are in a bearish alignment, with the price below the 20-day moving average, indicating ongoing bearish pressure.
- RSI(14): 29-30, exiting extreme oversold territory, indicating a rebound but not a reversal.
- MACD( Daily): Bearish crossover persists, bearish momentum remains strong, with the histogram slightly narrowing.
- Volume: Rebound with decreasing volume, insufficient buying pressure, selling pressure not fully released.

⚙️ Trading Strategies (by Type)

- Contract Strategy (Aggressive): Short at $79,000-$79,500 with a stop-loss at $80,200, target $77,500-$76,800, break below to $75,000-$74,500, position size ≤2%.
- Spot Strategy (Conservative): Mainly observe, add small positions in batches: around $76,800 with 1-2%; add another 1-2% if $75,000 stabilizes, total position ≤3%, stop-loss below $74,000.
- Mid-term Strategy (Positioning): If $74,500 is effectively broken, medium-term target is $72,000-$70,000, wait for weekly volume to decrease and RSI divergence to re-enter position.

⚠️ Risk Management Points

- Contracts: Strictly prohibit high leverage, use small positions + strict stop-loss to prevent liquidation from extreme volatility.
- Liquidity: Rebound with decreasing volume, beware of sharp pullbacks, control slippage risk.
- Correlation: Closely monitor BTC, US stocks, and macroeconomic volatility; news may intensify turbulence.
#BTC何时反弹？ $BTC