February 2, 2026 14:50 (UTC+8), BTC is currently trading at $75,300, with a daily low of approximately $74,800, a 24-hour decline of about 5%. Panic selling continues, dominated by bears, oversold but no clear reversal signals.

📊 Key Levels and Indicator Overview

- Resistance: 76,800-77,000 / 79,500 / 80,000 USD; Support: 75,000 / 72,000 / 70,000 USD (Strong support at 72,000 USD).
- Moving Averages: 50/200-day moving averages are in a bearish alignment, with prices significantly deviating from the averages, indicating strong bearish pressure.
- RSI(: 14): 25-28, deeply oversold, possibly a weak rebound but not a reversal.
- MACD(: Daily chart): Death cross downward, bearish momentum remains.
- Volume: Decreasing volume with weak rebound, selling pressure has not fully released, short-term stabilization is unlikely.

⚙️ Trading Strategies (by type)

- Contract Strategy (Aggressive): Short at 76,800-77,000 USD, stop-loss at 77,800 USD, target 75,500-75,000 USD, break below 72,000 USD, position size ≤ 2%.
- Spot Strategy (Conservative): Mainly observe, gradually add light positions around 75,000 USD (1-2%), add another 1-2% if 72,000 USD stabilizes, total position ≤ 3%, stop-loss below 70,000 USD.
- Mid-term Strategy (Positioning): If 72,000 USD is effectively broken, medium-term target 70,000-68,000 USD, wait for weekly volume to shrink and RSI divergence to re-enter position.

⚠️ Risk Control Points

- Contracts: Strictly prohibit high leverage, use small positions + strict stop-loss to prevent chain liquidations.
- Capital: ETF outflows continue, liquidity contracts, selling pressure may amplify volatility, beware of slippage.
- Coordination: Closely monitor US stocks, gold, and regulatory news, as news flow may intensify volatility.
#美联储人事与宏观政策影响 $BTC