January 25, 2026 BTC Technical Strategy (as of 12:00, UTC+8)

- Current Price: approximately $92,500 USD, narrow intra-day fluctuations leaning bearish, weekend liquidity is low.
- Core Conclusion: Short-term oscillation is bearish, strong support at 92,000/90,000, strong resistance at 95,000/98,000; until a volume breakout occurs, focus on range-bound trading with high sell and low buy, strict risk control.

Key Price Levels (USD)

- Support 1 (Strong): 92,000 (EMA50 / lower boundary of oscillation)
- Support 2 (Strong): 90,000 (psychological level / institutional accumulation zone)
- Support 3 (Strong): 89,000 (previous low / trend support)
- Resistance 1 (Strong): 95,000 (EMA200 / medium-term resistance)
- Resistance 2 (Strong): 98,000 (short-term holder cost line)
- Resistance 3 (Strong): 100,000 (psychological level / weekly moving average)

Indicator Overview

- Daily: Below **365-day moving average (101,000)**, weekly Ichimoku “cloud twist,” medium-term bearish.
- 4H: RSI (14) = 44-46, neutral leaning weak; MACD below zero line, bearish momentum not exhausted, no obvious divergence.
- 1H: Narrow fluctuations, declining volume, significant bullish-bearish divergence, waiting for direction.

Trading Strategy (including risk control)

1. Short-term (Intraday)
- Long positions: lightly long at 92,000-92,500, stop loss at 91,800, target 94,500-95,000, turn bearish upon reaching resistance.
- Short positions: lightly short at 94,500-95,000, stop loss at 95,500, target 92,500-92,000, turn bullish upon reaching support.
2. Mid-term (1-3 days)
- Breakout short: break below 90,000 with volume increase, chase short, stop loss at 91,000, target 89,000-88,000.
- Breakout long: stabilize above 95,000 with volume increase, chase long, stop loss at 94,000, target 98,000.
3. Strict Risk Control Rules
- Total position ≤20%, single trade ≤10%; weekend liquidity is low, heavy positions strictly prohibited.
- Strict stop-loss, single trade loss ≤2%; high volatility during US market hours, place orders in advance, avoid chasing.

Risk Warning

- Macro: Federal Reserve policies, geopolitical risks, BTC correlation, may trigger liquidity contraction and selling pressure.
- Technical: Weekly bearish trend not reversed, breaking key support could accelerate decline; heavy selling pressure at 98,000 above.