## Market Shock: What Really Lies Behind the Recent Bitcoin Drop?

In recent days, Bitcoin has experienced significant fluctuations. Specifically, on Coinbase, the currency reached a two-week low of $87,600 on Sunday evening before bouncing back above $89,000. According to TradingView data, this was the lowest level since December 2nd, when BTC dropped to $84,000. The current price is around $93,030.

## Who Has the Most Influence on Market Decisions?

Market observers are paying attention to **the movement in Japan** – the upcoming announcement from the Bank of Japan regarding interest rate policy could be a key catalyst for volatility. Arctic Digital experts note that when Japan considers raising rates by even 0.25%, it could provoke a reversal of the global carry trade. This phenomenon would burden high-risk assets, forcing professional investors and day traders to realize profits.

The Polymarket predictive platform assigns a 98% chance of a rate hike, indicating high market expectations. Past experiences show that Japanese monetary decisions often precede significant declines in Bitcoin’s value.

## Strategy Reacts to a Price Opportunity

Michael Saylor, the head of strategy, posted a message on X titled "Back to More Orange Dots" with a graphic of his portfolio, suggesting that his company plans to increase positions. In December, Strategy purchased 10,624 BTC – the largest purchase since late July. The company's current holdings amount to 660,624 BTC, worth approximately $58.5 billion at current prices.

The average entry price for Strategy was $74,696 per coin, meaning the company's investments remain profitable despite recent declines.

## Has the Market Already Factored in the Japanese News?

Not all voices in the industry agree that the news from Japan constitutes an unexpected shock. Analyst "Sykodelic" emphasizes that markets act predictively – traders position themselves before official announcements, not after. This means most perturbations may have already been priced in.

Nevertheless, experts expect Bitcoin to remain in the range of $80,000-$100,000, waiting for the next significant market trigger that may never come.

This situation reflects the fundamental tension in the market: between institutional players wanting to build positions at lower prices and macro traders cautious of geopolitical and monetary risks.