According to reports, Arthur Hayes, co-founder of a crypto derivatives trading platform, recently published an article analyzing Bitcoin's market performance. He believes that the main culprit behind the weak BTC trend this year is the tightening of US dollar liquidity. The seasoned trader further speculated that the situation might reverse next year. He predicts that by 2026, the US dollar credit environment will experience a new round of expansion— the Federal Reserve's balance sheet is expected to rebound, commercial banks will increase lending, and mortgage rates may gradually decline. Once these conditions are met, risk assets like Bitcoin are expected to benefit and usher in a better market environment.
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SnapshotStriker
· 9h ago
It's Hayes's macro forecast again... The dollar liquidity is correctly pointed out, but can it really reverse in 2026? I don't think the Federal Reserve will act that quickly; banks are still on the sidelines. However, if there is truly easing, BTC does have a chance.
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LeekCutter
· 9h ago
Hayes is telling stories again, we've been hearing the narrative of dollar tightening for over a year... Is it really going to turn around only in 2026? I think it's uncertain.
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GasGrillMaster
· 9h ago
Dollar tightening causes BTC to underperform, I believe in this logic... Wait, is Hayes starting to hype again? 26 years of easing? Feels like every year they say next year will be better, but the result is still the same.
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ApeShotFirst
· 9h ago
Oh my god, Hayes is starting to hype up next year's story again! Can the dollar liquidity crunch explain this year's crash? I don't believe you, 🤐.
2026 is the year to take off? So should I start buying the dip now or just keep lying flat, everyone!
According to reports, Arthur Hayes, co-founder of a crypto derivatives trading platform, recently published an article analyzing Bitcoin's market performance. He believes that the main culprit behind the weak BTC trend this year is the tightening of US dollar liquidity. The seasoned trader further speculated that the situation might reverse next year. He predicts that by 2026, the US dollar credit environment will experience a new round of expansion— the Federal Reserve's balance sheet is expected to rebound, commercial banks will increase lending, and mortgage rates may gradually decline. Once these conditions are met, risk assets like Bitcoin are expected to benefit and usher in a better market environment.