After years of navigating the crypto market, the biggest realization is—survive long enough, and you've already won.
Starting from 20,000 yuan to this scale today, there are no insider tips or stories of luck exploding. The only thing done right is using the simplest methods, enduring a few more rounds of market fluctuations than others.
Many ask: why can some survive long-term in the market, while others can't withstand a single correction? It boils down to two points—understanding the rhythm of the big players and controlling your emotions.
The following 6 rules are things repeatedly validated over more than 2000 days. They are not complicated but truly effective.
**Rule 1: Rapid rise, slow fall—may not be the top** The market suddenly surges, then gradually pulls back. Many people see this and immediately cut losses and run. In fact, this is often a sign of shakeouts and capital rotation. Panic selling often gets you caught.
**Rule 2: Rapid fall, slow rise—don't see it as an opportunity** After a flash crash, the price begins to climb slowly, seeming like a second chance to buy in. But this is usually the final stage of distribution. The mindset of "it's fallen so much" can easily trap people.
**Rule 3: High volume at high levels means there's drama; no volume, be cautious** When the price rises at high levels, if trading volume picks up, there's room for manipulation. But if the price consolidates and volume suddenly shrinks, this strange "quiet" often signals an imminent big drop.
**Rule 4: Volume at the bottom doesn't equal reversal** A true bottom is gradually formed. A single large bullish candle with high volume is at best a "smoke screen." What is the real sign of accumulation? Several days or even weeks of steady, continuous volume increase, indicating serious capital buildup.
**Rule 5: Watch volume, don't just focus on K-line charts** Price movement is surface-level; volume reflects the true market sentiment. It shows the consensus and the actual shifts in bullish and bearish forces. Many people study K-line patterns for a long time but overlook the most critical data.
**Rule 6: Being "empty" (holding no position) is a skill** Holding no position isn't cowardice; it's restraint. Not chasing highs isn't fear; true confidence lies in calmness. When you reach a point where you don't care about the market or have no obsession, trading truly begins to work for you.
To survive long in trading, both mindset and methodology are indispensable.
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ProtocolRebel
· 01-16 16:28
Well said, but too many people can't withstand the first wave of adjustment and just break down.
Living longer is indeed the ticket to being a winner, and that's how I play it now.
I've fallen into the trap of the fast rise and slow fall pattern and been shaken out several times.
Holding no position really tests human nature; not many people can do it indifferently.
I especially agree with Rule Five—candlestick patterns are useless; trading volume is the real indicator.
Starting from 20,000, you probably have to go through several life-and-death cycles to survive until now.
It's easy to say not to chase highs, but actually doing it is really difficult.
That kind of rebound in Rule Two is the easiest to deceive people into entering the market.
It feels like teaching how to survive and leave this market.
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NFTragedy
· 01-14 06:58
Starting from 20,000 to now, this market simply hasn't been cut off, haha.
Really, the time when I was completely out of the market was actually when I made the most profit. I truly understand this.
The second rule is the most painful: how many times have I been caught in a trap just because "it's already fallen so much"?
The relationship between volume and price is the real key; candlestick charts are just decorations.
Living longer indeed means winning, but most people won't last that long.
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DoomCanister
· 01-14 06:56
Oh wow, that's the real talk. Those who endure the cycle are tough, and staying in cash confidently is the real skill.
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LeekCutter
· 01-14 06:53
Really, you're absolutely right about staying out of the market; so many people fail because they can't control their impulses.
View OriginalReply0
CodeSmellHunter
· 01-14 06:49
You're right, sticking to cash positions is really difficult. It took me about ten times of losing my composure to learn this trick.
After years of navigating the crypto market, the biggest realization is—survive long enough, and you've already won.
Starting from 20,000 yuan to this scale today, there are no insider tips or stories of luck exploding. The only thing done right is using the simplest methods, enduring a few more rounds of market fluctuations than others.
Many ask: why can some survive long-term in the market, while others can't withstand a single correction? It boils down to two points—understanding the rhythm of the big players and controlling your emotions.
The following 6 rules are things repeatedly validated over more than 2000 days. They are not complicated but truly effective.
**Rule 1: Rapid rise, slow fall—may not be the top**
The market suddenly surges, then gradually pulls back. Many people see this and immediately cut losses and run. In fact, this is often a sign of shakeouts and capital rotation. Panic selling often gets you caught.
**Rule 2: Rapid fall, slow rise—don't see it as an opportunity**
After a flash crash, the price begins to climb slowly, seeming like a second chance to buy in. But this is usually the final stage of distribution. The mindset of "it's fallen so much" can easily trap people.
**Rule 3: High volume at high levels means there's drama; no volume, be cautious**
When the price rises at high levels, if trading volume picks up, there's room for manipulation. But if the price consolidates and volume suddenly shrinks, this strange "quiet" often signals an imminent big drop.
**Rule 4: Volume at the bottom doesn't equal reversal**
A true bottom is gradually formed. A single large bullish candle with high volume is at best a "smoke screen." What is the real sign of accumulation? Several days or even weeks of steady, continuous volume increase, indicating serious capital buildup.
**Rule 5: Watch volume, don't just focus on K-line charts**
Price movement is surface-level; volume reflects the true market sentiment. It shows the consensus and the actual shifts in bullish and bearish forces. Many people study K-line patterns for a long time but overlook the most critical data.
**Rule 6: Being "empty" (holding no position) is a skill**
Holding no position isn't cowardice; it's restraint. Not chasing highs isn't fear; true confidence lies in calmness. When you reach a point where you don't care about the market or have no obsession, trading truly begins to work for you.
To survive long in trading, both mindset and methodology are indispensable.