BTC Market Update — January 14, 14:30 (UTC+8)

As of 14:30 on January 14 (UTC+8), BTC is trading at $95,200, up +4.7% over the past 24 hours. After reaching an intraday high of $96,000, the price has slightly pulled back. The short-term bullish trend remains intact, but strong resistance lies in the $95,500–$96,000 zone.

RSI is approaching overbought levels, increasing the probability of a short-term pullback.

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Key Levels (High Priority → Low Priority)

Support:

$94,400 – Strong intraday support / neckline

$93,800 – EMA20

$92,000 – EMA50 / previous major support

Resistance:

$95,500 – Strong intraday resistance

$96,000 – Previous high / psychological level

$96,500 – Supertrend resistance

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TV Indicator Signals (Quick View)

RSI (Daily): 68.5 → Near overbought, watch for bearish divergence

MACD (Daily): Bullish, histogram positive, momentum strong but watch for weakening volume

Moving Averages: Price above EMA20 & EMA50; EMA20 acting as dynamic support

Volume: Increased on the rally, but declined after the high → upside continuation may be limited

Bollinger Bands: Price near upper band, volatility expanding, pullback risk rising

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Short-Term Trading Strategies

1️⃣ Pullback Long (High Priority)

Entry: $94,400–$94,600 (4H bullish close or base formation)

Stop-loss: Below $94,000

Targets:

TP1: $95,500

TP2: $96,000

Position Size: ≤20% (light position due to overbought conditions)

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2️⃣ Breakout Chase Long (Cautious)

Trigger: Daily close above $95,500 with strong volume (above 5-day average)

Entry: Pullback support at $95,000–$95,200

Stop-loss: Below $94,800

Targets:

TP1: $96,000

TP2: $96,500

Extension: $97,000

Position Size: ≤15% (quick in & out)

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3️⃣ Defensive Short (Contrarian, High Risk)

Trigger: Break below $94,000 with RSI divergence + rising volume

Entry: Rejection at $94,200–$94,400

Stop-loss: Above $94,400

Targets:

TP1: $93,000

TP2: $92,000

Position Size: ≤10% (strict risk control)

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Position & Risk Management (Must Follow)

Total Long Exposure: ≤30%

During Consolidation: ≤20%

Avoid heavy chasing when RSI is overbought

Stop-loss Rules:

Do not hold longs below EMA20

Do not hold shorts above key resistance

Profit-Taking Rule:

Take 50% profit at first target

Take remaining 50% at second target

Move stop-loss to breakeven after TP1

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Scenario Planning

🔵 Bullish Case

Strong breakout above $96,000 with volume

Targets: $96,500 → $97,000

Watch volume continuation

🟡 Neutral Case

Range-bound between $94,400–$95,500

Strategy: Buy low, sell high

Avoid chasing or panic selling

🔴 Bearish Case

Breakdown below $94,000 without quick recovery

Targets: $93,000 → $92,000

Exit longs immediatel.