Analysis: The current bottoming process in the crypto market is essentially complete, potentially opening a rapid upward channel.
The latest market assessment from XinHuo Research Institute indicates that the directional breakthrough in the crypto market has arrived as expected. • Breakout signals: Bitcoin surpasses $96,000, Ethereum exceeds $3,300, with 24h gains of approximately 4.4% and 7.4%, respectively.
• Major movement after market calm: Bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility drops to 40% (the lowest since October last year), low volatility often signals a directional breakout.
• Solid core logic: 1. Macro: Environment stabilizing in January-February (Federal Reserve easing expectations, potential US dollar depreciation) 2. Institutions: a16z's new $15 billion fund focusing on crypto 3. Policy: South Korea lifts ban on corporate crypto investments (allowing listed companies, etc., to allocate up to 5% to mainstream coins, gradually implemented in January-February)
• Short-term outlook: 1. Bitcoin: aiming to break the $100,000 mark (stabilize or reach a new all-time high) 2. Ethereum: a "revenge" rebound after oversold conditions (selling pressure exhausted, strong momentum for catch-up)
• Current state: trading volume increases, greed index rises, short-term technical correction possible, but overall trend remains upward.
The above content is compiled based on the latest assessment from XinHuo Research Institute, for reference only, and does not constitute investment advice.
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Analysis: The current bottoming process in the crypto market is essentially complete, potentially opening a rapid upward channel.
The latest market assessment from XinHuo Research Institute indicates that the directional breakthrough in the crypto market has arrived as expected.
• Breakout signals: Bitcoin surpasses $96,000, Ethereum exceeds $3,300, with 24h gains of approximately 4.4% and 7.4%, respectively.
• Major movement after market calm: Bitcoin's 30-day implied volatility drops to 40% (the lowest since October last year), low volatility often signals a directional breakout.
• Solid core logic:
1. Macro: Environment stabilizing in January-February (Federal Reserve easing expectations, potential US dollar depreciation)
2. Institutions: a16z's new $15 billion fund focusing on crypto
3. Policy: South Korea lifts ban on corporate crypto investments (allowing listed companies, etc., to allocate up to 5% to mainstream coins, gradually implemented in January-February)
• Short-term outlook:
1. Bitcoin: aiming to break the $100,000 mark (stabilize or reach a new all-time high)
2. Ethereum: a "revenge" rebound after oversold conditions (selling pressure exhausted, strong momentum for catch-up)
• Current state: trading volume increases, greed index rises, short-term technical correction possible, but overall trend remains upward.
The above content is compiled based on the latest assessment from XinHuo Research Institute, for reference only, and does not constitute investment advice.
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