Family members, stay awake tonight! The US December CPI data will be released at 21:30, and this "drawing" will directly determine the direction of the crypto market tomorrow. The current market expectation is 2.7%, and everyone is waiting for this number.

Let's clarify why a piece of economic data can influence the price of cryptocurrencies so significantly. The logic is actually quite simple: inflation data is released → Federal Reserve policy expectations change → market capital flows → cryptocurrency prices fluctuate. In other words, high inflation means the Fed will continue tightening or delay rate cuts, causing money to withdraw from risk assets; low inflation signals rate cuts, prompting capital to flood in. This pattern has been repeatedly validated by the market countless times.

Looking back at some key moments in history makes it clear. In June 2022, US CPI soared to 9.1%, hitting a 40-year high. On that day, the crypto market plummeted directly, with mainstream coins dropping over 12% in a single day, and many people got caught since then. By April 2024, the situation had reversed—the CPI was below expectations, and within the first hour after the data was released, leading coins surged 7%, breaking through $66,000. This contrast is enough to illustrate the seriousness of the issue.

The current situation is even more complex. There is already disagreement within the Federal Reserve on rate cut policies, coupled with uncertainty in inflation data, and market sentiment is highly sensitive. Tonight’s data could truly determine the market rhythm for the next few weeks.