To consistently profit in the crypto market, you first need to understand a fundamental fact: market movements are not random; they follow clear patterns.
Many traders fall into a misconception—staring at charts across various timeframes, seemingly finding "decent fluctuations" everywhere. Daily, weekly, 4-hour charts—each time frame appears to present good opportunities. The problem is, the quality of these opportunities varies greatly.
A phenomenon worth noting is: the larger the time frame, the lower the frequency of truly big market moves. However, these low-frequency, large-scale trends tend to have clearer structures and fewer chaotic factors. The reason is straightforward—big market moves are driven by large capital, and the deployment of large funds must follow the fundamental logic of the market.
In other words, market expectations shaped by fundamentals are the true driving force. Expectations do not arise out of thin air; they require time to accumulate and gradually ferment before forming a clear trend. Therefore, each major shift on a higher time frame is almost always a gradual process, making sudden explosive moves rare.
In practical trading, you need to focus on two dimensions simultaneously: one is the market sentiment reflected by technical analysis, and the other is whether fundamental expectations can gain broad recognition. When these two are aligned and coordinated, the trend can continue; otherwise, it’s just a brief pulse.
Once you understand this, you'll realize the danger of frequently chasing highs and lows on small time frames—that's just being led by market noise. Truly valuable opportunities are often hidden within larger macro time structures, and this is also true for long-term opportunities in mainstream coins like Bitcoin. Finding your own time frame and sticking to the trend is the key to survival.
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To consistently profit in the crypto market, you first need to understand a fundamental fact: market movements are not random; they follow clear patterns.
Many traders fall into a misconception—staring at charts across various timeframes, seemingly finding "decent fluctuations" everywhere. Daily, weekly, 4-hour charts—each time frame appears to present good opportunities. The problem is, the quality of these opportunities varies greatly.
A phenomenon worth noting is: the larger the time frame, the lower the frequency of truly big market moves. However, these low-frequency, large-scale trends tend to have clearer structures and fewer chaotic factors. The reason is straightforward—big market moves are driven by large capital, and the deployment of large funds must follow the fundamental logic of the market.
In other words, market expectations shaped by fundamentals are the true driving force. Expectations do not arise out of thin air; they require time to accumulate and gradually ferment before forming a clear trend. Therefore, each major shift on a higher time frame is almost always a gradual process, making sudden explosive moves rare.
In practical trading, you need to focus on two dimensions simultaneously: one is the market sentiment reflected by technical analysis, and the other is whether fundamental expectations can gain broad recognition. When these two are aligned and coordinated, the trend can continue; otherwise, it’s just a brief pulse.
Once you understand this, you'll realize the danger of frequently chasing highs and lows on small time frames—that's just being led by market noise. Truly valuable opportunities are often hidden within larger macro time structures, and this is also true for long-term opportunities in mainstream coins like Bitcoin. Finding your own time frame and sticking to the trend is the key to survival.