Recently, the geopolitical situation has indeed been changing, and the actions on the US side are quite significant. As ordinary investors, we can only watch the excitement. I won't say much about political topics; it's more practical to focus on the market.
One important change is that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is expected to step down in May, which means there is still a lot of uncertainty about the Fed's monetary policy direction in 2026. However, from the current situation, the uncertainties related to the US dollar have actually provided some potential benefits for the bullish market. The overall trend is unlikely to reverse quickly in the short term, and the current stance remains optimistic. But don't forget, short-term opportunities often come in waves, and those engaging in ultra-short-term trading pay more attention to rhythm, entry points, timing, and market cooperation. While maintaining a bullish outlook on the big picture, it's also important to watch for turning points in short positions to stay flexible.
**Market Situation of Bitcoin**
From a technical perspective, on the daily chart, Bitcoin has been steadily rising recently, with multiple consecutive bullish candles, and yesterday's large bullish candle even broke through previous resistance levels. The hourly chart shows a oscillating upward trend, with highs and lows gradually increasing, indicating a short-term need for a pullback.
The MACD histogram on the hourly chart has expanded, showing a clear increase in bullish momentum. However, the DIF and DEA are approaching overbought zones, showing some divergence signs. After the golden cross on the daily MACD, it continues to diverge upward, indicating a strong trend.
Regarding RSI, the hourly RSI has already exceeded 70, entering overbought territory, which may lead to a short-term pullback; the daily RSI is between 60-70, leaving room for further upward movement.
EMA moving averages are aligned in a bullish order on both hourly and daily charts. On the hourly chart, the price is closely following the EMA7, which serves as a short-term support level; on the daily chart, the long-term trend remains bullish.
**Trading Strategy**
For Bitcoin, there are two main scenarios:
First, go long in the range of 92,400-93,200, with a stop-loss below 91,600, and initial targets at 94,200-95,000. If the upward momentum continues, watch for around 96,600.
Second, short in the range of 95,000-94,200, with a stop-loss above 95,800, and targets at 92,800-92,000.
**Performance of Ethereum**
Ethereum also shows bullish characteristics, with similar trading suggestions:
Go long in the range of 3,115-3,145, with a stop-loss below 3,085, and targets at 3,200-3,240.
Alternatively, short in the range of 3,250-3,220, with a stop-loss above 3,285, and targets at 3,170-3,140.
**Final Reminder**
The above analysis and strategies are for reference only. Investment involves risks, and losses are at your own risk. Considering possible delays in publication, it’s best to adjust your operations based on the latest market developments in real time.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
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PumpStrategist
· 9h ago
The hourly RSI is already above 80 and you're still bullish? The pattern has formed but the chips are highly concentrated, this is a typical retail mentality.
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MACD divergence plus overbought, in simple terms, it's a signal of risk release. Currently chasing are all bagholders.
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Interesting levels, shorting between 95000-94200 with a stop loss set at 95800, this move... In probability strategies, this is called a suicidal operation.
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Powell stepping down? That actually means space is being released. Don't be fooled by bullish sentiment; watch the volume, it won't lie.
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The daily EMA7 support sounds good, but the problem is the hourly chart is already overbought. Short-term correction is not just possible, but likely.
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LiquidityLarry
· 9h ago
Powell leaves in May, now the Federal Reserve is undergoing a leadership change. It's really hard to say what will happen in 2026.
Breaking 94,200 to push towards 96,600, but don't be too greedy—expect oscillations and pullbacks.
Ethereum around 3,200 faces significant resistance; it feels like we need to wait for a better opportunity.
Short-term rhythm is the key. The overall trend remains bullish, but we must also keep a close eye on the turning points for short positions. Flexibility is the way to make money.
View OriginalReply0
ShitcoinArbitrageur
· 9h ago
Powell ran on May 1st, and it really turned into a suspenseful script.
Don't rush me, I'm still watching whether 92,400 can hold.
This bullish move is indeed a bit fierce, but I don't believe there won't be a pullback.
For short-term positioning, you need to be quick, or you'll be eaten up in a minute.
Ethereum's follow-the-trend momentum, let's keep observing.
View OriginalReply0
RealYieldWizard
· 9h ago
Powell leaves on May 1st, and the Federal Reserve becomes a mystery. Who can say how long this rally will last?
This bullish trend can indeed continue, but with such obvious overbought signals, be careful of getting trapped.
Enter long at 92,400 or short at 95,000; the key is whether the rhythm can align.
At the 3115 level for Ethereum, it seems pointless; let's wait for a pullback.
In the short term, it's all about timing. The overall trend is bullish, but don't be greedy. The pain of cutting losses is the deepest.
View OriginalReply0
ChainMemeDealer
· 9h ago
Wow, Powell ran away in May. Isn't this uncertainty actually a gift to the bulls?
The short-term rhythm is the real thing, coming wave after wave. It's the hardest to buy the dip.
Looking at the technicals, Bitcoin indeed seems a bit overbought. Be cautious of a pullback and avoid being shaken out.
The trading logic for ETH is similar; it all depends on whether the market cooperates.
The setup is quite detailed, just worried about being manipulated during actual operations.
View OriginalReply0
MevSandwich
· 10h ago
Powell will leave office in May, so it's even more confusing now. Anyway, I'll just watch and see.
Both bulls and bears should stay alert; don't bet blindly on one side. That's the way to stay safe.
92400 is indeed a good entry point for a long position.
Ethereum has been a bit weak in this wave; better to wait for a pullback before acting.
In the short term, it's all about playing the rhythm. If you can't grasp it, don't force it.
Recently, the geopolitical situation has indeed been changing, and the actions on the US side are quite significant. As ordinary investors, we can only watch the excitement. I won't say much about political topics; it's more practical to focus on the market.
One important change is that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is expected to step down in May, which means there is still a lot of uncertainty about the Fed's monetary policy direction in 2026. However, from the current situation, the uncertainties related to the US dollar have actually provided some potential benefits for the bullish market. The overall trend is unlikely to reverse quickly in the short term, and the current stance remains optimistic. But don't forget, short-term opportunities often come in waves, and those engaging in ultra-short-term trading pay more attention to rhythm, entry points, timing, and market cooperation. While maintaining a bullish outlook on the big picture, it's also important to watch for turning points in short positions to stay flexible.
**Market Situation of Bitcoin**
From a technical perspective, on the daily chart, Bitcoin has been steadily rising recently, with multiple consecutive bullish candles, and yesterday's large bullish candle even broke through previous resistance levels. The hourly chart shows a oscillating upward trend, with highs and lows gradually increasing, indicating a short-term need for a pullback.
The MACD histogram on the hourly chart has expanded, showing a clear increase in bullish momentum. However, the DIF and DEA are approaching overbought zones, showing some divergence signs. After the golden cross on the daily MACD, it continues to diverge upward, indicating a strong trend.
Regarding RSI, the hourly RSI has already exceeded 70, entering overbought territory, which may lead to a short-term pullback; the daily RSI is between 60-70, leaving room for further upward movement.
EMA moving averages are aligned in a bullish order on both hourly and daily charts. On the hourly chart, the price is closely following the EMA7, which serves as a short-term support level; on the daily chart, the long-term trend remains bullish.
**Trading Strategy**
For Bitcoin, there are two main scenarios:
First, go long in the range of 92,400-93,200, with a stop-loss below 91,600, and initial targets at 94,200-95,000. If the upward momentum continues, watch for around 96,600.
Second, short in the range of 95,000-94,200, with a stop-loss above 95,800, and targets at 92,800-92,000.
**Performance of Ethereum**
Ethereum also shows bullish characteristics, with similar trading suggestions:
Go long in the range of 3,115-3,145, with a stop-loss below 3,085, and targets at 3,200-3,240.
Alternatively, short in the range of 3,250-3,220, with a stop-loss above 3,285, and targets at 3,170-3,140.
**Final Reminder**
The above analysis and strategies are for reference only. Investment involves risks, and losses are at your own risk. Considering possible delays in publication, it’s best to adjust your operations based on the latest market developments in real time.