2026-01-12 09:40:25

#密码资产动态追踪 Counterintuitive phenomena in trading: Why does the more you learn, the faster you crash?

From an initial capital to the 30 million level, I’ve never relied on insider information or talent. The only "cheat code" that works is doing subtraction—rejecting information overload and sticking to the most basic market laws.

The acceleration across three stages:

Starting → 3 million took 3 years,

3 million → 8 million in just 1 year,

Finally, 8 million → 30 million compressed into 5 months.

The more I go on, the clearer it becomes: the speed of making money is inversely proportional to the operation frequency, not positively correlated.

There’s only one core rule—repeatedly play the N-shape pattern. A vertical surge, a diagonal pullback, then a vertical break of support. Enter when you see the N-shape; close the position when the pattern fails. Don’t trade against the trend to add positions, don’t hold stubbornly, don’t pile on leverage. Strictly control stop-loss at 2%, take-profit target at 10%. With just a 35% win rate, you can achieve stable profits.

Many people think this approach is too "basic," constantly stuck in technical indicators and news feeds, but the more they delve into it, the more they lose.

I prefer a rougher method: just hang one 20-day moving average on the toolbar(, reduce visual clutter by lightening its color), check the 4-hour chart once at 9:50 AM every day. If there’s no N-shape pattern, close the software; if there is, set stop-loss and take-profit orders accordingly. It all takes about 5 minutes. The rest of the time is completely free.

Logic for recovering capital after profits:

When reaching 1.2 million, withdraw the initial capital for the first time,

When hitting 6 million, take half out to allocate to funds and fixed deposits,

The remaining part continues to participate in market rotations.

This way, even if the market experiences extreme pullbacks, the core assets are already locked in.

Three unwavering bottom lines: don’t chase rallies, don’t hold stubbornly, don’t be greedy for battles.

The crypto market has no guaranteed winning strategy, only probability dice. Repeated screening over time naturally reveals high-value assets. Don’t expect a single 100x turnaround, or steady 10% gains over 20 consecutive times. Accumulating to tens of millions is just a matter of time.

The dark night phase has already been experienced. Now I lay out my experience and mindset. All real account operation data are available, with no fictional components. For friends seeking to improve trading discipline and find a stable growth path.

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BankruptcyArtist

· 01-15 09:19

Can you master a day's trading in 5 minutes? Is this true or false... 坚持做减法, the simpler it looks, the more profitable it is, counterintuitive but true I agree not to chase the rise, but is the 30 million a real account or backtest data? The N-shaped pattern sounds easy to explain, but how to judge the validity of this pattern in actual operation? Consistently outperforming, the probability dice analogy is brilliant Is it enough to just look at the 20 moving average? I feel like something is missing... From 800 to 3000 in 5 months, this acceleration sounds a bit unbelievable Really someone can stick to this discipline, I am convinced

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ZkProofPudding

· 01-15 00:37

In short, greed causes people to crash the market. The saying "the simpler, the more profitable" is true. Once you see through it, the N-shaped pattern is indeed more effective than anything else. People who watch K-line charts every day are just working for the exchange. This guy has realized that. Five minutes a month is enough; the rest of the time should be spent eating and sleeping. That's what it means to truly live. A 35% win rate for stable profits? Come on, brother. Keep at it and see. A tough person—30 million isn't just talk; the account data is right there. Another one claiming "I didn't use insider info, I relied on myself." Just listen, don't take it seriously. Doing subtraction is the truth; the more indicators, the faster you die. I believe that.

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Ser_This_Is_A_Casino

· 01-13 13:53

It's really useful to study less flashy stuff; the simpler, the more profitable. Staring at a bunch of indicators every day just gets you trapped in a routine, playing the N-shaped pattern stubbornly, and it surprisingly works. That 30 million speed boost is crazy, really a "lying down to earn" rhythm in the later stages. This guy is right, not chasing, not holding, not greedy—sounds easy but hard to do. Stop loss 2, take profit 10, a 35% win rate is enough. I’ve calculated this math, and it really can run. Why do I lack the resolve to stick with it? I’ve been tempted back every time. Getting it done in 5-minute trades leaves the rest of the time free—that’s true living. Some people love taking detours; they need to lose millions before they get it. I now deeply understand the importance of not chasing the rise; one chase is enough. The probability dice analogy sounds reliable; long-term repetition is the right way.

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MEVvictim

· 01-12 10:10

To be honest, this N-shaped pattern sounds a bit too perfect, but it really hits my pain points. I used to be the kind of person who would watch five or six indicators and stare at the candlesticks nonstop, and as a result, I lost more the more I learned. Now, I actually start to believe in this "rough" logic. I'm just curious, how many bull and bear markets have these 30 million crossed? There aren't many people who can hold on without chasing the highs. Honestly, it's still a mindset issue; technical skills are secondary.

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FlyingLeek

· 01-12 10:09

That's right, the simpler it is, the more profitable. I only realized this after playing for a few years. --- The N-shaped pattern is indeed powerful, but the key is still that discipline. --- People who trade K-line charts every day really lose the fastest. I've seen too many. --- Getting it done in 5 minutes for a day's operation? Now that's true freedom. --- A stop loss of 2% and a take profit of 10% may seem small, but when you calculate compound interest, it's terrifying. --- Those chasing the rise are basically greedy with no bottom line. They deserve it. --- Starting with only 3 million in the first 3 years, and reaching 30 million in the last 5 months—this acceleration is truly exponential. --- The subtraction trading method is very restrictive of human nature, but that's why most people can't do it. --- Patience is needed when extracting the principal; otherwise, no matter how much you earn, it's just paper wealth. --- I can't imagine how unstable the mindset must be for those who stubbornly hold their positions.

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MEVictim

· 01-12 10:05

This guy truly embodies the saying "Less is more," which is really counterintuitive. The more I study, the more I realize how much money I lose... Last year, just analyzing indicators took me three months' worth of salary. Honestly, the N-shaped pattern sounds low-level, but making a living and earning money is better than obsessing over fancy techniques. Getting a day's trading done in 5 minutes, and having the rest of the time free... this might be the ultimate secret to monetization. Not chasing the rise, not forcing through, these three bottom lines are said too harshly; many people fall prey to greed because of them. --- I need to verify this data with him—did it really go from 3 million to 30 million that quickly? --- It looks simple and rough, but the logic chain that allowed someone to grow from a few thousand to thirty million is still impressive. I'm just worried about survivor bias; the market isn't that gentle. --- So I wasted my time learning all those technical indicators? The key is execution, brother. --- Stop-loss at 2%, take-profit at 10%, with a 35% win rate, and you can earn passively... I need to crunch these numbers. --- The most incredible thing is "no insider info and no reliance on talent," this statement is a slap in the face to many big influencers.

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MetaverseLandlady

· 01-12 10:00

Bro, I've tried the N-shaped pattern before, but it's easy to get fooled by fake breakouts. You're right, the more I study, the more clueless I become. Now I only look at moving averages and ignore flashy indicators. Five months from 8 million to 30 million, that's a pretty aggressive growth rate, and the drawdown control is indeed strict. People who watch the market every day are exhausted from losses, but this guy is actually free—ironic. The key is not to be greedy or hold on too long; most people get stuck at these two points. Consistent compound interest is really harder to stick with than dreaming of a hundredfold increase. I admire this patience.

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HashBandit

· 01-12 09:58

nah back in my mining days i'd see this exact mentality fail spectacularly... 20 sma only? that's cute until network congestion spikes your entry point by 3x in gas fees alone, gas fees will absolutely wreck your 2% stop loss math

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StakeOrRegret

· 01-12 09:58

It's the same old "The Great Way is Simple" rhetoric, and I'm starting to get a bit tired of it. On the contrary, I think there's a pretty big logical flaw—going from 8 million to 30 million in 5 months? I remember my friend also said the same thing, but then the next market wave caught him off guard. Is the N-shaped pattern really that magical? Why does it seem like everyone online is talking about it? Honestly, I don't really trust spot trading; if it could really rise steadily like that, it would have been low-key long ago. The key is, is a 35% win rate really enough? Can this be verified?

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