On Saturday, at least 7 explosions occurred consecutively in Caracas, the capital of Venezuela, which caused a significant market reaction.

Local residents reported hearing loud explosions, followed by military aircraft flying low over the city, and power outages in several districts. Thick smoke was seen near La Carlotta Airport, indicating an attack. The Venezuelan government directly accused the United States, claiming that U.S. military bombings targeted both civilian and military sites, constituting a military invasion of national sovereignty. However, the U.S. government has not publicly confirmed direct involvement as of now.

This is not an isolated incident. In recent weeks, the U.S. has noticeably increased pressure on the Maduro regime. This week, the Trump administration announced a comprehensive blockade on sanctioned oil tankers traveling to and from Venezuela, and Trump himself has not ruled out the possibility of launching ground military operations—citing the fight against drug networks and regime change as reasons. Conversely, Maduro claimed that the U.S. naval buildup in the Caribbean was merely an excuse to overthrow him. In fact, last month, U.S. forces launched an attack on a port area in Venezuela.

The data paints a clearer picture: since September last year, the U.S. military has conducted 29 strikes against drug-related vessels in the Caribbean and the Eastern Pacific, resulting in at least 105 deaths. The two most recent strikes occurred on December 22.

The overall situation has clearly shifted from economic sanctions toward the brink of military confrontation, which is why market prediction platforms have recently increased their assessments of the probability of U.S.-Venezuela conflict.