2026-01-03 10:21:16

After years in the crypto market, I've seen too many people rush into contracts with the fantasy of getting rich overnight, only to be harshly lessons by the market. Today, I want to say something practical: making money in contracts is a probability game; surviving is the real skill.

**Emotions are the biggest enemy**

Who is the main target that the big players love to hunt? Not just short or long traders, but retail investors who are emotionally hijacked and often go all-in. These people usually exhibit two typical behaviors—seeing a sharp rise and FOMO chasing in, only for the big players to reverse and dump, trapping them in the middle of the move. Or they panic and cut losses immediately when breaking a key support line, only for the price to bounce back, crushing their mindset. The whole logic is like a casino's "big loss, small win" approach—big players target those who lose their rationality to harvest. Historically, some institutions have also suffered from underestimating risks and overestimating their own abilities, such as huge losses on speculative options positions during extreme market drops.

**Being a little cautious can help you survive longer**

Entering the market should be like a sniper—if you're not going to shoot, don’t; if you do, you must have data to support it. Don’t follow the "feeling that it will rise" nonsense. Pay more attention to weekly support and resistance levels, and consider institutional hedging logic (like judging the bottom price through futures basis). Retail traders should wait for double bottoms or head-and-shoulders patterns before acting. Better to miss a profit opportunity than to make a wrong trade decision, because opportunities are daily, but if your capital is gone, there’s no hope.

Leverage is not a tool to amplify dreams; it’s a ruler to measure risk. I usually keep it below 3x leverage—high leverage is like dancing on a wire, one fluctuation can lead to liquidation. Institutions use leverage to hedge risks, not to gamble more. This principle must be clearly understood.

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LiquidationOracle

· 20h ago

You're absolutely right. I only realized this after being caught by FOMO a few times. This sentence really hit me. Once the principal is gone, there's really no hope... Now, whenever I feel the urge to go all-in, I first calm down for three days. High leverage is truly poison. Seeing others make ten times profit makes me itch, but just thinking about the liquidation outcome makes me give up. Being cautious helps you live longer. I remind myself of this every day now.

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LiquidityNinja

· 01-05 18:12

You're so right, emotional killing is invisible. I've seen too many people FOMO in, and even as they cut their losses, they're still blaming the main players. Living is much more important than making money, this is the truth. So what if you're a little timid? Being timid is what helps you live the longest.

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BTCRetirementFund

· 01-05 13:40

You're so right, emotions really are ruthless when it comes to killing. I have a buddy who saw a limit-up and, in a moment of heat, went all in, only to get crushed into pulp. Now he keeps telling me he's regretful every day. Being timid is truly an art of living. I'm now only using less than 3x leverage; I won't touch more no matter what. Wait, your analogy of "big wins at the expense of small losses" is brilliant. The main players in the casino also use this strategy. Retail investors are really the chosen ones. Contracts are like this: surviving is more valuable than making money. I wish I had listened to this earlier. I need to review the weekly charts and other patterns; I feel like I've always been a gut-feeling trader, no wonder I keep getting cut. Institutions hedge risks, retail investors amplify gambling—why is the gap so big? Wake-up call came too late. This article is really honest talk, saved me a lot of tuition fees, my friend.

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LadderToolGuy

· 01-05 07:28

Really, I've seen too many people be controlled by emotions, going all-in and losing everything... --- Being cautious is indeed a skill; as long as your principal is safe, there's a next round. Surviving is more important than anything else. --- Anything over 3x leverage is playing with fire. Don't be tempted by the dream of high leverage; when liquidation happens, it's all over. --- The main players love to harvest FOMO traders. They buy when prices go up, sell when prices go down, getting repeatedly harvested... --- You really need to learn the support and resistance levels on the weekly chart. Don't just guess blindly; only data can help you survive longer. --- Leverage, in simple terms, is amplifying losses. Learn from how institutions play; don't turn it into gambling.

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gas_fee_trauma

· 01-03 10:51

It's the same old mentality talk, but really, not many people listen. --- How could those high-stakes players be afraid? Their desire to make money has already fried their brains. --- I also set below 3x leverage the same way, but still see a bunch of people going all-in with 500x and then disappearing. --- No matter how right I am, it’s useless. Just waiting for the next bear market when a new batch of retail investors rush in. --- The saying "Surviving is an achievement" really hits home. Many traders die emotionally. --- Feels like it’s going to rise haha. This is the entire logic of 99% of retail investors, then they get eaten to the point of nothing left. --- Leverage is a ruler, but in front of FOMO, no one cares about that. --- I've seen through it long ago. The main players just use this emotional manipulation to harvest, repeatedly smashing the market to cut losses, then pushing up and chasing highs in a cycle.

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LiquidationWatcher

· 01-03 10:51

It's the same old story, but it really hits the mark. I've seen too many tragedies of margin calls within a month, and honestly, there's no need for that. --- Leverage is a double-edged sword; institutions use it for hedging, while retail traders are basically gambling. --- Feeling like it's going to rise? Haha, that's the signal most favored by the main players. --- Having your principal alive is more important than anything else. There's nothing wrong with that statement. --- I also trade with less than 3x leverage; high leverage is truly playing with fire. --- There are opportunities every day, but a margin call only takes once. The logic is so simple it hurts. --- Emotion-driven trading is indeed a professional course in cutting leeks. --- Being a bit cautious? I think it should be called being more rational; that's how you'll survive longer.

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RumbleValidator

· 01-03 10:50

Weekly support and resistance levels must be thoroughly understood, otherwise it's just giving away your head. --- People using high leverage will eventually get liquidated, it's only a matter of time. --- If you can't even ensure node stability, then going all-in is just laughable. --- Data support is crucial; it feels like trading should be cursed. --- Institutions hedge risks, and retail investors should learn from this, instead of blindly gambling. --- Staking yields are steady and outperform, why take such risks? --- Mastering the basis spread to judge the bottom is essential; 99% of people simply can't understand it. --- The stability of the consensus mechanism directly affects returns; don't get blinded by FOMO. --- Exchanges with high verification efficiency are trustworthy; others are just traps.

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Tokenomics911

· 01-03 10:45

Honestly, I’ve seen too many people get caught by FOMO, going all-in and ending up zeroed out... Being timid is truly a necessary course in life. --- Emotions are like poison. The big players love to see retail investors get hijacked. I think if I try to stay rational, I’m more likely to mess up. --- If the pattern can really save your life, it’s not just talk. I’ve seen so many people feel it’s going to rise, only to get liquidated directly. Once the principal is gone, everything is over. --- Isn’t less than 3x leverage attractive? Yet some still play with high leverage, dancing on the wire. That’s like throwing money into a casino. --- The most disgusting moment is when you cut your losses, then the price turns back around. Your mindset just explodes. That’s why controlling emotions is so important. --- Institutions use leverage to hedge risks, while retail investors playing with leverage just amplify losses. It’s important to distinguish the difference. --- There are so many opportunities every day. Why insist on chasing one that won’t make money? It’s really not worth losing your principal over.

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NewDAOdreamer

· 01-03 10:37

Yeah, that's right. Emotions are really the biggest killer. I was caught by FOMO chasing gains before, but now I'm much more stable. --- The advice to use less than 3x leverage is good; it seems risk control should always come first. --- Being a little cautious can really help you live longer. That hits home. --- Every day there are opportunities, but if your principal is gone, it's over. I respect this logic. --- The statement that contracts are a game of probability is spot on; most people haven't really understood this. --- Looking for patterns on the weekly chart is indeed more reliable than relying on intuition, but it requires patience. --- Main players love to harvest those who are emotionally driven; retail investors need to be alert. --- Not taking action is fine, but when you do, you need data. This is very much like professional trading thinking. --- High leverage = dancing on a tightrope; eventually, you'll fall.

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