#数字资产动态追踪 【Ethereum 1-Hour K-Line Rapid Reversal, Dip Is Actually a Good Entry Point】

Last night, I reviewed ETH's 1-hour chart and noticed several details that are worth mentioning. To get straight to the point: in the short term, there is indeed some correction pressure, but I believe this recent drop might actually be the main players giving retail investors a chance to buy in.

Let's look at the technical aspects:

When the price surged to 3149, it quickly pulled back, leaving a clear long upper shadow. From the 1-hour chart, this is a classic "shooting star" reversal pattern, indicating that the main players are likely offloading above 3100. The upper Bollinger Band (3116) is firmly pressing down on the price, causing each rally to be suppressed. However, the key support is below — although the price broke below the middle band (3039), the 30-day moving average (3022) and the 30-period EMA (3034) form a strong support zone.

The MACD momentum indicator also shows interesting signals. Although the histogram turned green, the DIF value (29.42) is forming a bearish divergence with the recent high. This suggests that while the price is still making new highs, the momentum is weakening — a typical sign of short-term momentum exhaustion.

Key levels I note:
- **3020-3040 zone**: Triple defense line (moving average + EMA + Bollinger middle band), a critical support area
- **2962**: Lower Bollinger Band; if this is broken, a short-term shift to bearish is likely
- **Above 3116**: Once stabilized above this level, the upward trend can resume

Now, looking at on-chain data:

In the past 24 hours, large whale addresses withdrew 128,000 ETH from exchanges, roughly worth $400 million RMB. This signals accumulation by big players. Meanwhile, ETH 2.0 staking contracts are hitting new highs, and on-chain liquidity continues to tighten. The options market is also interesting — a large number of put options are stacked at the 3000 level, forming a thick options wall, which is essentially insurance bought by bullish traders.

There are also several catalysts in the news:
- The Federal Reserve’s January meeting minutes are about to be released, and the market is still betting on whether liquidity will be released
- Multiple institutions have submitted revised spot ETF applications for Ethereum, and the SEC’s approval window is approaching
- The Layer 2 ecosystem’s TVL surged by 23% this week, supporting the bullish fundamentals

My own trading plan is as follows:

In the next 24-48 hours, the price is likely to retrace to the 3030-3050 zone. I plan to build long positions gradually within this range, with a strict stop-loss set at 2980 — so even if I’m wrong, the loss remains manageable.

Target positions vary based on scenario: conservatively, take profits around 3100-3115; more aggressively, wait for a volume breakout above 3149 to chase longs, targeting 3220.

Ultimately, I don’t think this signals the end of the trend. It’s more like a healthy technical correction. The main players need to shake out short-term traders above 3100 to prepare for the ETF rally. I’ve already placed a limit order at 3042. If it drops below 3000, I’ll admit defeat and exit. But based on past experience, sharp declines in this structural bull market are often not traps but opportunities — weapons for us to use. $ETH