Honestly, whenever I see someone hype up a oracle project as "the future will definitely be like this or that," I instinctively step back—not because these projects are inherently problematic, but because I don't want to be bitten by my own certainty.
Now my habit has reversed: I evaluate any infrastructure as a "system that will eventually fail." It sounds a bit pessimistic, but I think this is the most honest attitude. It's not about how shiny it looks when it runs smoothly, but whether it can stand firm when it crashes—faults in oracles are never low-probability events, just differences in scale. Small issues can be isolated, but a major incident could be fatal.
Why am I saying this? Because adding AI to oracles directly expands the risk surface. Traditional oracles mainly get stuck on "price source manipulation," but projects that consume unstructured data introduce several layers of hidden dangers: the information itself can be polluted, false evidence can be present, texts can be cleverly manipulated, and biases in the model itself. To put it plainly, they are not only easier to exploit but also have more elaborate ways to trip up. So my logic is the opposite—don't rush to hype it up; first imagine it will fail, then see if it has the ability to save itself.
My judgment is that if an oracle is to survive long-term, the strongest moat is probably not how accurate its reasoning is, but its emergency response capability. In other words, after an output error, can it quickly cut losses, assign responsibility, rollback, re-examine, and ultimately still earn the developer's trust to continue using it?
I focus on three practical issues:
First, when off-chain evidence contradicts each other, does it dare to make a decision? I would prefer it to output low confidence levels, or even refuse to settle and explain the reasons, rather than force an output just to appear "decisive."
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SatoshiHeir
· 01-06 05:03
No problem with that, this guy has hit the core of the oracle. Structured data is still easy to deceive, but the unstructured data set is the real Pandora's box.
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SquidTeacher
· 01-06 03:07
That's very true. These days, whenever someone promotes a project, they first have to ask, "What if it crashes?" Otherwise, it's just being a scammer. Oracles with added AI are even more outrageous, with hidden risks doubling in minutes.
I think those with real competitiveness are the ones willing to say "uncertain," which is much better than confidently outputting incorrect data.
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MetaReckt
· 01-03 09:47
Honestly, I've been fooled and scared by these "determinism" theories. Now I think it's more honest to admit that some projects will have issues.
The ability to cut losses is a hundred times more important than accuracy, and you got that right.
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PanicSeller69
· 01-03 09:37
Hey, now that's a clear-headed evaluation. Not many still dare to openly challenge the promises of the big players.
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DancingCandles
· 01-03 09:32
Really, after hearing so many "My model is 100% accurate" nonsense, now I only believe those who dare to say "I might be wrong." Oracles—it's not about the accuracy, the real skill is whether they can save themselves when things go wrong.
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AI plus oracles? Don't even mention it. The risks stack up—information pollution, model bias, text manipulation... pitfalls waiting to happen. But on the other hand, this actually becomes the most reliable screening criterion.
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I just want to know, when those oracle projects encounter major issues, do they really dare to say "I don't know," or do they just force out random outputs? The former is worth trusting.
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I've taken note that refusing settlement with low confidence is more practical than any high-level reasoning.
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Basically—whether it crashes or not isn't the point; what matters is what to do after it crashes. That's where true judgment lies.
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The emergency response capability of oracles—no one has really discussed it from this angle. Developer trust is indeed more precious than anything else.
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SignatureLiquidator
· 01-03 09:30
Haha, at the end of the day, it's all about whether you can survive the crisis moment, not how smooth things are during normal times.
Honestly, whenever I see someone hype up a oracle project as "the future will definitely be like this or that," I instinctively step back—not because these projects are inherently problematic, but because I don't want to be bitten by my own certainty.
Now my habit has reversed: I evaluate any infrastructure as a "system that will eventually fail." It sounds a bit pessimistic, but I think this is the most honest attitude. It's not about how shiny it looks when it runs smoothly, but whether it can stand firm when it crashes—faults in oracles are never low-probability events, just differences in scale. Small issues can be isolated, but a major incident could be fatal.
Why am I saying this? Because adding AI to oracles directly expands the risk surface. Traditional oracles mainly get stuck on "price source manipulation," but projects that consume unstructured data introduce several layers of hidden dangers: the information itself can be polluted, false evidence can be present, texts can be cleverly manipulated, and biases in the model itself. To put it plainly, they are not only easier to exploit but also have more elaborate ways to trip up. So my logic is the opposite—don't rush to hype it up; first imagine it will fail, then see if it has the ability to save itself.
My judgment is that if an oracle is to survive long-term, the strongest moat is probably not how accurate its reasoning is, but its emergency response capability. In other words, after an output error, can it quickly cut losses, assign responsibility, rollback, re-examine, and ultimately still earn the developer's trust to continue using it?
I focus on three practical issues:
First, when off-chain evidence contradicts each other, does it dare to make a decision? I would prefer it to output low confidence levels, or even refuse to settle and explain the reasons, rather than force an output just to appear "decisive."