#数字资产市场动态 Recently, I noticed some interesting signals while monitoring the market and want to share them with everyone.

The 1-hour chart of BTC is a bit confusing. The price is repeatedly oscillating near the upper Bollinger band (90242), but each attempt to push higher seems weak and unable to stabilize; although the short-term moving averages are in a bullish alignment, MA7 (90094) has already flattened and now acts as a resistance level. From the MACD perspective, the red histogram is shrinking, and the gap between DIF (179) and DEA (237) is still large, indicating that the bearish momentum is converging but hasn't yet formed a true buy signal, suggesting a weak correction phase.

On-chain activity also confirms this. Monitoring shows that the inflow from large holder addresses has slowed down over the past 6 hours, while net inflows on exchanges are increasing, indicating that some high-level chips are loosening, and some short-term profit-taking positions are gradually exiting.

There are no sudden positive news in the market, and it’s still rotating within the liquidity-tight end-of-year cycle; new narratives haven't caught up yet.

My straightforward view is: the risk of a short-term correction is accumulating, and chasing longs at this level is really not worth it. I will wait for the price to retrace toward the middle Bollinger band (89944) or even MA30 (89906) to confirm support is effective before considering going long again. This logic has helped me avoid several tops and bottoms before, and I stick to it this time — as long as the key support isn’t broken, the medium-term trend won’t change; but if there’s no correction in the short term, I’d rather wait than hold a heavy position.

The market is changing, but trading discipline always comes first. Let’s stay patient and find a more comfortable entry point. The bigger the storm, the calmer we need to stay! $BTC