#预测市场 The candidate for the Federal Reserve Chair has turned into a "plot twist" in the prediction market. Wash's probability jumped from 7% directly to 48%, while Haskett's dropped from 85% to 42%, with this fluctuation being quite remarkable. Just by looking at Trump's attitude, it's clear that behind the words "Both Kevin are great," Wash already has a slight lead.

The most interesting part is Haskett—because being too close to Trump actually became a "problem," for fear of being accused of benefiting from favoritism. The logic is really that good relationships are a plus, but being too close becomes a risk. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon supports Wash, and the endorsement from a big player like him definitely carries weight in the prediction market.

Prediction markets are essentially about people's judgments based on real money, and the data fluctuations behind these numbers reflect actual bets from market participants. From this perspective, the probability of Wash becoming the next Federal Reserve Chair is indeed rising. The crypto community is also paying attention to these macro trends, as changes in the Fed Chair candidate can impact the entire financial market.