ETH's recent rebound momentum looks pretty good, but from a structural perspective, this is still just a bounce within the range and far from a trend reversal.



Currently around 3015, the 4-hour chart just hits the MA120 moving average, which is a good testing opportunity. The real bottleneck is between 3050 and 3070, where the key resistance lies.

On the hourly level, the upward acceleration has been continuous, and such a trend often leads to a quick spike followed by a pullback. Once a pullback forms, it will likely switch to a sideways decline mode, so the trading strategy is quite clear—shorting on rebounds offers a better risk-reward ratio.

Only one variable can change this rhythm: a confirmed break and stabilization above the 3050—3070 zone. Achieving this condition would confirm a true structural reversal; otherwise, it's just a rebound.

Before that, the strategy is: don't chase longs, be patient with rebounds, wait for it to move into a comfortable short position, so you can operate with the trend. Some smaller tokens like LIGHT, BEAT, and others are also in similar rhythms, and the approach applies.
ETH0,45%
LIGHT-14,43%
BEAT-17,89%
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RektButAlivevip
· 9h ago
If 3050 can't hold, it will still rebound; only a break confirms it. Currently, I am looking at short opportunities.
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WalletWhisperervip
· 12-29 03:58
nah this ma120 kiss is just the organism breathing, not waking up. watch the 3050-3070 zone like it's a whale's wallet address—that's where the real tells happen.
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BoredWatchervip
· 12-29 03:57
If 3050-3070 can't be broken, it's a rebound. I agree with this logic.
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MEVHuntervip
· 12-29 03:56
nah this is just textbook dead cat bounce dressed up as reversal. 3050-3070 gotta hold or we're back in the grind, nothing changes that.
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GasFeeCriervip
· 12-29 03:56
If 3050-3070 can't hold steady, don't expect a reversal. You have to short when taking profits. This logic has no flaws.
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SchrodingerPrivateKeyvip
· 12-29 03:46
Breaking through the 3050-3070 barrier is really tough; waiting for the pullback makes the market much more comfortable.
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AirdropChaservip
· 12-29 03:46
Is the 3050 barrier really that tough? It feels like we're going to go back and forth again in the next couple of days.
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GasFeeCryBabyvip
· 12-29 03:33
It feels like the 3050 hurdle is about to come crashing down again, it's really frustrating to watch.
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