2025-12-29 03:27:46

Looking at the recent Bitcoin trend, there are some short-term opportunities. My approach is as follows—

**Position size controlled at 2% to 4%**; here, I use a loss-based position sizing method, meaning you decide the exact position size based on how much loss you can tolerate.

**Entry logic**: Aggressive traders can buy around 88,500, while more conservative traders should wait until 87,500. A reasonable target average price is around 88,000. The win rate is estimated to be about 60%.

**Short-term outlook**: If the direction is correct, first watch the 89,344 level, then 90,444 is a good profit-taking point. There should be opportunities in this short-term trend.

**A longer-term perspective**: The medium-term target is in the range of 92,444 to 95,744. This requires some time and patience, but this direction is worth positioning.

**Risk management**: Stop loss at 86,744. This is very important—before entering, make sure you know the maximum loss you can accept.

A reminder: after taking profit, don’t be greedy; immediately set your stop loss to break-even (BE) to at least lock in your principal. This is just my personal trading approach, for reference only.

BTC-0,53%

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GhostWalletSleuth

· 9h ago

Tsk tsk, it's the same old loss-cutting theory again. It sounds very professional, but in actual practice, only a few can really execute it. The average price set at 88,000 is okay, but a 60% win rate sounds easy to say. When it comes back to losses, you'll realize what face-slapping really means. I agree with the stop-loss at 86,744. At least people with bottom lines won't lose everything, which is very important.

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YieldFarmRefugee

· 9h ago

This position control is indeed solid. I need to learn the move of setting a fixed loss... But claiming a 60% win rate with such confidence, I feel a bit uncertain. Is the average price of 88,000 reliable? It still seems a bit high to me. Setting the stop-loss at the breakeven point is in place. Those who don't greed indeed live longer.

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GasGuzzler

· 9h ago

Take profit when it's time to take profit. Don't play the game of protecting the original position; it's easy to be swept out by a counter move.

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just_vibin_onchain

· 9h ago

A 60% win rate is quite honest; most people boast over 80%. This approach is pretty good, and the tactic of cutting losses is indeed the key to survival.

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SquidTeacher

· 9h ago

Wow, how are these levels so accurate, are they real... I also saw the 88,000 move, just debating whether to go in or not... A 60% win rate sounds good, but the actual operation is another story... Set the stop loss at 86,744, I’ve noted it down to avoid getting numb from being trapped... There are short-term opportunities, but I’m worried it might just be another cut-loss situation... Why does the 92,444-95,744 range look so out of place, can it really rise that much? The idea of setting a fixed position size based on loss tolerance is still reliable, better than blindly buying and selling...

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ShitcoinArbitrageur

· 9h ago

2-4% position size is real, but this guy has too many numbers, I get dizzy. I don't believe in predictions accurate to the single digit; they're all armchair quarterbacks after the fact. 60% win rate? Sounds good, but reality often proves otherwise. Stop-loss is very important, that's true, but when it really comes to losing money, no one wants to cut their losses.

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