The recent statements from the Bank of Japan are definitely more than just routine policy adjustments. The decision-makers explicitly stated that they will raise interest rates every few months in the future, even if it reaches 0.75%, Japan's real interest rate will still remain deeply in negative territory. What is behind this? It is a much stronger resolve than market expectations. The decades-long "zero interest rate era" is accelerating its disintegration.



The key issue is not the rate hike itself, but its chain reaction. The triangular forces among global central banks have shifted: the Federal Reserve is cutting rates, while Japan is raising rates in the opposite direction, which will inevitably reshape the flow of global funds. Over the past few decades, the yen has been the world's lowest-cost financing currency, with many investment institutions borrowing yen to bet on high-yield assets worldwide. Now, as the US-Japan interest rate differential narrows rapidly, this massive arbitrage capital is withdrawing, equivalent to directly draining liquidity from the global markets. For the crypto markets, which have moved away from retail frenzy and are now dominated by large institutions, this macro-level capital contraction is like a direct cooling.

There won't be an immediate cliff drop, but structural pressures have already become evident. Why has the market not moved significantly despite the lack of obvious negative news? That’s the answer. Bitcoin continues to oscillate around $87,000, reflecting this suppressed state.

Looking ahead, the market’s pricing logic will undergo a complete overhaul. Previously driven by news and stories, future market moves will depend on global interest rates and the flow of institutional funds.

So, how should one actually respond? The first step is to tighten positions, reduce leverage, and ensure sufficient cash reserves in accounts. Next, stay away from small coins with extreme volatility and high risk, as market contractions are the easiest times to get completely cut out of these assets. Lastly, learn to wait—true opportunities often hide in moments of maximum panic. The impact of Japan’s rate hikes has just begun to be released, and there’s more to come.
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CommunityJanitorvip
· 7h ago
Japan's move this time is indeed ruthless, siphoning off arbitrage funds... No wonder institutions have been pulling back recently.
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PaperHandSistervip
· 7h ago
Japan's move is really aggressive this time. When the arbitrage funds are pulled out, we get drained directly. It feels like they're just waiting for a drop, and this position is really stifling. Reducing leverage is a must; don't wait until a liquidity crisis to regret it. I haven't touched small coins for a long time; those are just meat-cutting machines. It's really about who can endure until the panic moment—that's the real buying opportunity.
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unrekt.ethvip
· 7h ago
Japan's recent moves are definitely not minor; arbitrage funds have been directly withdrawn, and we are now just waiting.
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WhaleWatchervip
· 7h ago
Japan's recent moves are indeed quite strategic, and siphoning off arbitrage funds is definitely something to take seriously. It's high time to pay close attention to the macro perspective; previously, a group of people were still spinning stories. 8.7 really got stuck, and it seems like there will be continued tug-of-war for a while. Leverage should have been reduced long ago; those still going all-in at this point are really gambling. Small coins definitely should be avoided, as they get cut immediately after a contraction. Waiting is indeed the hardest part, but the returns in this phase are often the sweetest.
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GmGnSleepervip
· 7h ago
This move by Japan is really a blow below the belt—arbitrage funds withdrawing and directly dumping the market.
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RektHuntervip
· 7h ago
Japan's recent moves are really ruthless. Once the arbitrage funds are withdrawn, the market loses all momentum. No wonder BTC has been dead silent these days.
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