The Japanese Ministry of Finance announced recently that Prime Minister Takashi will unveil a plan to issue an additional 29.6 trillion yen in government bonds by 2026, just two months after taking office. This figure sounds a bit outrageous—roughly enough to buy half a Tesla Group.
Let's look at the data: Japan's debt-to-GDP ratio has already reached 264%, firmly ranking first in the world. What does this number represent? It means that for every 1 yen of Japan's economic output, there are 2.64 yen of debt behind it.
Interestingly, the Bank of Japan holds more than half of the government bonds itself. To put it metaphorically, it's like borrowing money from the left hand to the right hand—interest circulates within the system. It seems clever but also very risky.
On the economic front, deflation has become a thing of the past. The opposite problem now is that prices are rapidly catching up. The former negative interest rate policy has also bid farewell to the stage of history, and the Bank of Japan is gradually moving towards raising interest rates. As for the yen's depreciation? The market is already tired of it; traders even joke that the "Kuroda defense line" no longer exists.
In such an environment, what are smart money doing? Stockpiling gold and Bitcoin. To be honest, this is not unique to Japan—global capital is also positioning itself in safe-haven assets, and Japan is just following suit.
Overall, Japan's debt scale is indeed staggering, but with support from the central bank and domestic financial institutions, a collapse in the short term is unlikely. The real risk is more like a chronic disease—it may take ten or twenty years to fully erupt. Until then, let's sit back, enjoy the spectacle, and observe what the next act of this financial drama will be.
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ZKProofEnthusiast
· 14h ago
Borrowing with the left hand from the right hand, has Japan been playing this trick for so many years without getting tired? A debt ratio of 264% is honestly beyond the expected range, but the game of the central bank stepping in can indeed last for a while.
What’s really interesting is that now the whole world is stockpiling Bitcoin and gold. I have to say, Japan’s trend-following is quite impressive. It seems that safe-haven assets are really attractive.
This chronic condition takes about ten years to erupt? I bet five bucks on an early warning, and it will probably be another big printing spree by the central bank then.
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MintMaster
· 14h ago
Left hand flips to the right hand, this trick has been played out. The Bank of Japan's recent move is truly digging its own grave; sooner or later, it will have to fill it.
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MoonMathMagic
· 14h ago
Using the right hand to borrow from the left hand, the central bank is money laundering itself, playing it slick.
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OnlyOnMainnet
· 14h ago
Japan's left hand borrowing from the right hand, this trick the central bank plays so smoothly, just worried that one day the interest cycle will break down.
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GasFeeTherapist
· 14h ago
Lending to the right hand with the left hand—this trick has been played many times in the capital market. Just waiting for the day when the right hand has no money to repay.
The Japanese Ministry of Finance announced recently that Prime Minister Takashi will unveil a plan to issue an additional 29.6 trillion yen in government bonds by 2026, just two months after taking office. This figure sounds a bit outrageous—roughly enough to buy half a Tesla Group.
Let's look at the data: Japan's debt-to-GDP ratio has already reached 264%, firmly ranking first in the world. What does this number represent? It means that for every 1 yen of Japan's economic output, there are 2.64 yen of debt behind it.
Interestingly, the Bank of Japan holds more than half of the government bonds itself. To put it metaphorically, it's like borrowing money from the left hand to the right hand—interest circulates within the system. It seems clever but also very risky.
On the economic front, deflation has become a thing of the past. The opposite problem now is that prices are rapidly catching up. The former negative interest rate policy has also bid farewell to the stage of history, and the Bank of Japan is gradually moving towards raising interest rates. As for the yen's depreciation? The market is already tired of it; traders even joke that the "Kuroda defense line" no longer exists.
In such an environment, what are smart money doing? Stockpiling gold and Bitcoin. To be honest, this is not unique to Japan—global capital is also positioning itself in safe-haven assets, and Japan is just following suit.
Overall, Japan's debt scale is indeed staggering, but with support from the central bank and domestic financial institutions, a collapse in the short term is unlikely. The real risk is more like a chronic disease—it may take ten or twenty years to fully erupt. Until then, let's sit back, enjoy the spectacle, and observe what the next act of this financial drama will be.