Leisurely trading, doing contracts when there's something to do. Actually, the core logic of trading isn't complicated; it's about understanding people.
Recently, I dug up a bunch of old screenshots and realized that every time I place a bet, there's a catalyzing event behind it. From stocks to futures to the crypto world, over these ten-plus years, I've noticed a pattern: whenever there's an event, there will be emotion; where there's emotion, there will be opportunity. Traders are people, and so are the traders in crypto—people can't escape greed, anger, and ignorance. Desire, fear, and anger—these three things can directly distort a person's judgment.
The correct approach is actually very simple: calm yourself down and wait for high-confidence, high-probability opportunities to act.
Take a project from the second half of this year as an example. I participated out of boredom, intending to just dip my toes and leave. But due to the project team making mechanism adjustments and my own greed, I couldn't bring myself to fully exit. However, because I was deeply involved, I discovered other opportunities. For example, during two obvious bank runs, the contract market price dropped from 8 to below 2—classic chain reactions triggered by panic. Such scenarios will repeat, it's just a matter of whether you can recognize them.
The biggest mistake in trading is chasing hype. Hot projects mean many people, and many people mean more competition for the cake. But if you think in the opposite way, you can often find real opportunities. There are many ways to make money; to achieve big gains, patience is essential. No need to gamble or trade frequently—just seize those few big opportunities at critical moments, and the outcome is already determined.
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governance_lurker
· 9h ago
That's right, human nature is something that can never be broken. I was also involved in the drop from 8 to 2. At that time, I really felt heartbroken watching others sell off.
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MoonBoi42
· 9h ago
That's right, just waiting for the opportunity. I'm currently mostly observing, not touching any hot projects, but instead keeping an eye on those that have been knocked down.
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MoonRocketman
· 9h ago
The decline from 8 to 2, RSI has completely lost control, which is a signal that the gravity resistance level has been broken through. The launch window has shifted.
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GasGuzzler
· 9h ago
Well said, it's all about understanding human nature. I've long realized that hot projects are often traps, while unpopular ones actually present opportunities.
Waiting for events, emotions, and opportunities—getting these three steps right is how you make money.
Greed is truly the biggest enemy in trading; I've fallen into this trap myself.
Recognizing the moment of panic is the real timing for action.
Those chasing the hype are the ones who get cut; thinking in reverse is the way to survive longer.
Patience is indeed valuable, but unfortunately most people simply can't wait.
Leisurely trading, doing contracts when there's something to do. Actually, the core logic of trading isn't complicated; it's about understanding people.
Recently, I dug up a bunch of old screenshots and realized that every time I place a bet, there's a catalyzing event behind it. From stocks to futures to the crypto world, over these ten-plus years, I've noticed a pattern: whenever there's an event, there will be emotion; where there's emotion, there will be opportunity. Traders are people, and so are the traders in crypto—people can't escape greed, anger, and ignorance. Desire, fear, and anger—these three things can directly distort a person's judgment.
The correct approach is actually very simple: calm yourself down and wait for high-confidence, high-probability opportunities to act.
Take a project from the second half of this year as an example. I participated out of boredom, intending to just dip my toes and leave. But due to the project team making mechanism adjustments and my own greed, I couldn't bring myself to fully exit. However, because I was deeply involved, I discovered other opportunities. For example, during two obvious bank runs, the contract market price dropped from 8 to below 2—classic chain reactions triggered by panic. Such scenarios will repeat, it's just a matter of whether you can recognize them.
The biggest mistake in trading is chasing hype. Hot projects mean many people, and many people mean more competition for the cake. But if you think in the opposite way, you can often find real opportunities. There are many ways to make money; to achieve big gains, patience is essential. No need to gamble or trade frequently—just seize those few big opportunities at critical moments, and the outcome is already determined.